1 |
RB01 |
Clyde Edwards-Helaire |
RB |
21.00 |
With a strong chance of becoming Brian Westbrook 2.0 as Andy Reid's Alvin Kamara, CEH is this year's rookie 1.01. |
2 |
RB02 |
Jonathan Taylor |
RB |
21.30 |
Taylor's long-term QB play in uncertain as is his pass catching role. But as the best RB prospect in the class he retains elite upside behind a strong offensive line. |
3 |
WR01 |
CeeDee Lamb |
WR |
21.10 |
Lamb is the best WR prospect in the class, will develop against single coverage and has very strong QB play. Immediate targets are a concern. |
4 |
WR02 |
Jerry Jeudy |
WR |
21.00 |
Jeudy has a case to be the WR1 in this class, a case I made myself before Hamler muddied the waters in Denver. He's a clear target for me. |
5 |
WR03 |
Jalen Reagor |
WR |
21.30 |
As a 1st round pick, Reagor's outlook looks very strong before even accounting for landing spot. I have the top tier of WRs very close despite the typical gap in ADP before Reagor. |
6 |
WR04 |
Justin Jefferson |
WR |
21.30 |
Jefferson's ceiling as a prospect looks lower than the three WRs ahead of him. And his NFL ceiling is probably capped by the Vikings run-centric approach. But he has a high floor and has been undervalued in dynasty throughout the off-season. |
7 |
RB03 |
Cam Akers |
RB |
20.90 |
Akers forms an immediate committee with Darrell Henderson. And the beat writers believe he may lead the backfield from day 1. Akers has an all around skill set and his situation makes him the best bet to become a workhorse outside of CEH and Taylor. |
8 |
RB04 |
J.K. Dobbins |
RB |
21.40 |
Dobbins lands in a near ideal long-term situation for his rushing outlook. Ingram will be gone after the season, but his 29 targets in 2019 show the potential limitations of a RB in this offense. |
9 |
RB05 |
D'Andre Swift |
RB |
21.30 |
Detroit is a bad landing spot for Swift. The Lions seem intent on running the ball a lot, but unwilling to feature a primary RB. And with Kerryon Johnson entering his age 23 season and under contract through 2021, this could be a gross situation. The Lions also drafted a receiving RB in the 5th round. |
10 |
WR07 |
Brandon Aiyuk |
WR |
22.10 |
Aiyuk's landing spot brings more positives than negatives in my view. He should quickly climb the depth chart and is paired with one of the most creative minds in football. |
11 |
WR05 |
Henry Ruggs III |
WR |
21.30 |
Ruggs' production red flags are concern, but he was the top WR drafted in an incredible class. At 5'11" 188 lbs, he could develop into a true No. 1 WR and faces little competition for targets. |
12 |
WR06 |
Laviska Shenault Jr. |
WR |
21.60 |
Shenault's landing spot is and an excellent fit for his YAC skillset. Leonard Fournette wasted 100 targets in 2019 and Dede Westbrook has been revealed to be little more than roster depth. |
13 |
RB06 |
Ke'Shawn Vaughn |
RB |
23.00 |
As the internet's leading Ronald Jones apologist, Vaughn is a tough ranking for me. I don't see him taking complete control of the backfield, but should get the opportunity to become the 1A in TB and will quickly lock up the passing down work. |
14 |
WR08 |
Tee Higgins |
WR |
21.30 |
Higgins comps to Cody Latimer and A.J. Brown. He is a true boom/bust prospect with the widest range of outcomes in the WR class. |
15 |
RB07 |
Zack Moss |
RB |
22.40 |
Moss should carve out an immediate role in Buffalo. But Singletary isn't going away and is probably the more talented RB. |
16 |
RB08 |
A.J. Dillon |
RB |
22.00 |
A.J. Dillon was an appallingly bad NFL draft pick, but Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams are scheduled to hit free agency in 2021 and it just got a lot less likely that they're re-signed. |
17 |
WR09 |
K.J. Hamler |
WR |
20.80 |
Hamler is being left for dead after his admittedly horrible landing spot in Denver. But Hamler, outside of size, has an incredibly strong prospect profile. WR is a position where I'm willing to bet on talent, and Hamler has talent. |
18 |
RB09 |
Antonio Gibson |
RB |
21.80 |
Gibson is currently listed as WR, but I'm betting that changes by the season. He's expected to work out of the backfield in Washington. And while the team has Derrius Guice, Adrian Peterson, Bryce Love, Peyton Barber and J.D. McKissic all under contact, this is a depth chart that is crowded with bodies, not talent. There's breakout potential here. |
19 |
TE01 |
Cole Kmet |
TE |
21.10 |
Kmet seems to be flying completely under the radar, but be was a good TE prospect and was drafted fairly early. There are targets available on the Bears if can develop quickly. |
20 |
WR10 |
Chase Claypool |
WR |
22.00 |
Claypool is way bigger than Mims and way more athletic that Pittman. His immediate target situation isn't as bullish as those two, but he if Smith-Schuster leaves in Free Agency he could step into a major role in 2021. |
21 |
WR11 |
Denzel Mims |
WR |
22.50 |
Mims was the 13th WR drafted and has major red flags in his profile, yet he tends to go well before WR13 in rookie drafts. I'll admit I'm also intrigued by his combination of athleticism and target upside. But the NFL just took Van Jefferson ahead of a him, so they're clearly not sold on him. His downside risk is substantial. |
22 |
WR12 |
Michael Pittman Jr. |
WR |
22.60 |
I view Pittman as very close in value to Mims but he usually comes with discount in drafts. |
23 |
RB10 |
Darrynton Evans |
RB |
21.80 |
Evans has upside to emerge as at least a lead back in the committee that if Derrick Henry leaves in 2021. |
24 |
QB01 |
Joe Burrow |
QB |
23.40 |
I'm not sold that Burrow has elite upside in 1QB leagues. He's more valuable in deeper 1QB formats. |
25 |
QB02 |
Tua Tagovailoa |
QB |
22.20 |
Tua may take a little white to emerge, but he has enough ceiling to still be interesting in 1QB formats. |
26 |
RB11 |
Anthony McFarland |
RB |
21.20 |
McFarland will operate as depth in 2020, but he may also be auditioning for the right to replace James Conner in 2021. |
27 |
WR16 |
Antonio Gandy-Golden |
WR |
22.00 |
Gandy-Golden should see immediate targets and was one of the most productive WRs in the 2020 class. His 4th round draft selection knocked him down my board, but he's a great value. |
28 |
QB03 |
Justin Herbert |
QB |
22.10 |
Herbert has a big arm and rushing ability so he should be a viable fantasy QB. |
29 |
RB15 |
Eno Benjamin |
RB |
21.00 |
Benjamin wasn't selected until the 7th round, but he lands in an explosive offense. If he unseats Chase Edmonds as Kenyan Drake's, his pass catching chops would make him a prime zero RB target. |
30 |
RB13 |
Lynn Bowden Jr. |
RB |
22.50 |
Bowden will be converted to RB, which lowers his ceiling behind Josh Jacobs. But he could develop into a more explosive version of Jalen Richard. |
31 |
WR13 |
Bryan Edwards |
WR |
21.50 |
Edwards may not see immediate targets and his production profile has some major red flags. |
32 |
RB14 |
Joshua Kelley |
RB |
22.40 |
4th round pick who could work into a committee with Austin Ekeler. However, Justin Jackson can be retained cheaply for 2021, so his path to touches isn't guaranteed. |
33 |
RB12 |
DeeJay Dallas |
RB |
21.60 |
4th round pick who could contribute right away if Chris Carson isn't healthy. |
34 |
RB16 |
Lamical Perine |
RB |
22.20 |
4th round pick who has an all around skill set and could be a part of the plan to replace Le'Veon Bell in 2021. |
35 |
WR14 |
Van Jefferson |
WR |
23.80 |
Jefferson is one of the worst prospects I can remember going in the 2nd round. But he did go in the 2nd round, which means he could get several cracks at a meaningful role. |
36 |
TE02 |
Adam Trautman |
TE |
23.20 |
Trautman has a strong pass catching resume for TE but he played at the FCS level and enters the league at 23 years old. |
37 |
WR16 |
Isaiah Hodgins |
WR |
21.50 |
Of the 12 WRs who declared early for the draft and will begin their rookie seasons at 21, Hodgins 29% career market share ranks behind only Laviska Shenault and KJ Hamler. WRs with this profile have been extremely productive, even when drafted late. |
38 |
WR17 |
Gabriel Davis |
WR |
21.10 |
Davis is coming off a strong final season and was selected in the 4th Round by a Bills team that will soon be replacing John Brown and Cole Beasley. |
39 |
TE03 |
Devin Asiasi |
TE |
22.70 |
The Patriots are looking for playmakers and Asiasi could be surprisingly productive for a rookie TE. |
40 |
TE04 |
Albert Okwuegbunam |
TE |
22.00 |
Albert O joins a Broncos team suddenly loaded with pass catchers. |
41 |
WR18 |
Tyler Johnson |
WR |
21.70 |
I'm not exactly sure why NFL scouts hate Johnson so much. |
42 |
RB17 |
Jason Huntley |
RB |
22.00 |
Huntley is another reason why I'm not high on Swift. He caught 134 passes in college at 5'9" 193. If the Lions ruin Swift by turning him into Jordan Howard, Huntley will be their Tarik Cohen. |
43 |
WR19 |
Devin Duvernay |
WR |
22.60 |
3rd Round pick by the Ravens. Not a good prospect profile but should get opportunity. |
44 |
WR20 |
Quintez Cephus |
WR |
22.10 |
5th round pick, Possession WR type who can contribute in the red zone and on ST. |
45 |
WR21 |
Isaiah Coulter |
WR |
21.60 |
5th Round pick, early declare WR who tested well at the combine. Could earn targets in Houston. |
46 |
WR22 |
Joe Reed |
WR |
21.50 |
5th round pick some intriguing traits. Strong ST player, which should help him make the the Chargers roster. |
47 |
WR23 |
Darnell Mooney |
WR |
22.50 |
5th round pick who is very small, but was very productive in college. |
48 |
WR24 |
Quez Watkins |
WR |
22.90 |
Very productive in college and ran a 4.35 40 at the combine. |