Sunday Football
3:00 PM ET Game
Washington @ Philadelphia
Team Totals: Eagles 27, Commanders 21
I took the Eagles to cover -4.5 as soon as this spread opened, but it’s since been aggressively bet in Philadelphia’s direction. Deservedly so; Commanders stalwart RG Sam Cosmi tore his ACL in last week’s upset of Detroit, a massive loss against on-fire Eagles DT Jalen Carter. In these clubs’ two regular-season meetings, Jayden Daniels did tag Philly DC Vic Fangio’s unit for a combined 46-of-71 passing (65%), 449 yards (6.3 YPA), and a 6:3 TD-to-INT ratio plus 99 yards rushing. I remain concerned that Philadelphia’s relentless and deep defense will overwhelm overachieving Washington. The Eagles have allowed 23 points or fewer in 13 of their last 14 games. … Philly stymied Commanders early-down banger Brian Robinson Jr. to the tune of 26/87/1 (3.3 YPC) rushing in these teams’ 2024 dates, while pass-game specialist Austin Ekeler’s role tends to grow when Washington plays from behind. The Commanders are underdogs by nearly a touchdown on the road. Through two playoff games, Ekeler has turned 14 carries into 74 yards (5.3 YPC) and secured seven of eight targets for 67 yards. Ekeler to clear 25 receiving yards at -110 odds feels like a sharp prop bet to me.
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