Each week in this space, we’ll look at how fantasy football ADP has changed across real-money drafts over the past week. The goal is to learn how drafters playing for cash prizes are reacting to news, injuries, and more to build their teams. Finally, at the bottom of the article, we will pull out the takeaways we think are important to understand from these moves.
To listen to a breakdown of this info in a short audio format, check out the Establish The Run Podcast (Episode released Monday afternoon).
We cover ADPs for Underdog Fantasy, FFPC, and NFFC. In the future, we will add “home league” ADP to this report.
- WR injuries to James Washington and Tim Patrick have shifted ADPs for K.J. Hamler and Jalen Tolbert, who have seen big jumps in their ADPs on Underdog. Expect to see that extend across the rest of the industry in the coming weeks.
- Hype cycles are continuing for Isaiah McKenzie and Romeo Doubs. While the camp news is positive, we think the market is overreacting too much here. On the other hand, we’re staying ahead of market on George Pickens despite his ADP also rising in a big way for the second straight week.
- Isaih Pacheco is getting rave camp reviews. He’s up to an ADP of 179.4 on NFFC after previously going undrafted, and teammate Ronald Jones has dropped a full round. We like Pacheco as a late-round RB dart throw but not much more. We’ve largely been fading RoJo all offseason, but if he drops closer to RB50ish than RB40ish, it may be a good time to grab some exposure on the cheap as we continue to monitor the situation.
- The Treylon Burks ADP is up pretty much everywhere for consecutive weeks. There’s no news here, just a correction of a previous overreaction by the market to some offseason noise surrounding Burks, which we pointed out in this space. Even with the correction, Burks is one of our favorite targets.
