DFS Top Plays: Week 13

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo, and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes.

In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context, and positional depth are accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership, game stacks, or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low. Please read this article and listen to Episode 619 of the podcast for more on large-field tournament strategy.

For more tournament content, check out our projections, Gary Hartman’s GPP Leverage Article, and Saturday’s Establish The Million show with Drew Dinkmeyer and Mike Leone.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: median projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations”.

They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

QUARTERBACK

Brock Purdy ($6,100 DK, $7,800 FD) – It’s a bit counterintuitive to see a 49ers QB traveling east to Philadelphia in December as a high-floor play, but Purdy sure does feel that way this week. The Eagles have consistently given up big games to QBs this season, highlighted by Josh Allen’s 40+ point performance last week, and Purdy has all of his supporting cast locked and loaded for this battle.

Russell Wilson ($5,700 DK, $7,400 FD) – While there’s no doubt Russ has often been used as a game manager this year, he’s been pretty good overall, and he gets a great spot this week against a Texans team that has gotten themselves into perpetual back-and-forths and have particularly been gashed through the air. In this spot, Russ should have a solid floor and, especially at $5,700 on DK, is a very enticing cash-game option this week.

Tua Tagovailoa (FanDuel – $8,400) – Anytime you see the Commanders on the other side of a high-upside offense, you would be well within your right to begin to salivate, and that is what we have here this week for Miami. While he is also in play on DK, Tua projects better on FanDuel, where he projects as the second-best value QB (only behind C.J. Stroud). Against a Commanders team that not only gives up huge games but also finds a way to punch back, Tua should be in store for a high floor/ceiling combo this week.

RUNNING BACK