Last Updated: October 27th at 11:39am ET.
Update: Keenan Allen is active but there are serious questions about his health and role. We think it’s a marginal downgrade to Mike Williams and Hunter Henry’s output. We’ve moved Williams down in our FD rankings, but his price on DK still makes him a core cash game play.
Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This page will be updated once on Sunday morning, if necessary.
You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.
The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.
With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.
Russell Wilson ($7200 DK, $8600 FD) — The Falcons’ inability to pressure QBs bodes well for Wilson. He’ll have access to a bigger ceiling if Matt Ryan (ankle) can play. Update: With Ryan out and Matt Schaub starting, Wilson is still in play but takes a clear backseat to Deshaun Watson.
Deshaun Watson ($7100 DK, $8400 FD) — Ideal setup against a funneling Oakland defense which is 30th in pass defense DVOA. Paying up for QB is not difficult this week given all the value available.
Josh Allen ($6500 DK, $7700 FD) — Allen hasn’t topped 22 DK points in a game all year, but he went over 24 points in four of his final six games last year. A home game against an Eagles is a nice spot to access that ceiling. Update: The severe wind forecast in Buffalo is worth noting on Allen. Drew Brees is worth considering at $200 cheaper on DraftKings.
Matthew Stafford ($6100 DK, $7700 FD) — The Giants are 30th in PFF’s team pass rush grades and 27th in coverage.
Ryan Tannehill ($5100 DK) — Bucs have the biggest pass funnel in the league and Tannehill quietly has two highly talented weaponds in Corey Davis/AJ Brown. Tannehill is far cheaper on DraftKings vs. Fanduel.
Leonard Fournette ($7800 DK, $7700 FD) — Can safely project Uncle Len for 90+ percent of the RB touches against a Jets defense playing without stud ILB CJ Mosley (groin).
Chris Carson ($7000 DK, $8000 FD) — Rashaad Penny played just two snaps last week — and that was in a neutral/bad game script. Carson remains underpriced relative to his 25-touch upside.
Le’Veon Bell ($6900 DK, $7000 FD) — The two catches over the last two weeks are odd, but both game flows (DAL, NE) were odd.We suspect that will be an outlier on his full-season picture. No Marcell Dareus (abdomen) helps the rushing outlook.
Chase Edmonds ($6200 DK, $6100 FD) — Only in play if David Johnson is out. ARZ OL vs. NO DL is a concern, but Edmonds handled 29-of-30 RB touches last week. Far cheaper on Fanduel.
Latavius Murray ($5800 DK, $6200 FD) — Only in play if Alvin Kamara is out. Saints offensive line plus the Saints RB-friendly scheme makes Latavius a high-floor option. He’s absurdly cheap on Fanduel.
Ty Johnson ($4900 DK, $5200 FD) — At just $700 over minimum on Fanduel, Ty is in play as Kerryon Johnson’s direct backup. Reportedly handled most of the first-team work during open portions of practice this week. But we’ve seen the Lions use heavy committees before, even with Kerryon Johnson in.
DeAndre Hopkins ($8100 DK, $8200 FD) — Will Fuller’s absence plus a dream home matchup with the funneling Raiders defense sets up nicely for Hopkins. His box scores have been underwhelming relative to still elite usage.
Michael Thomas ($8000 DK, $8500 FD) — Expect Sean Payton to duck Thomas into the slot plenty in efforts to avoid Patrick Peterson.
Calvin Ridley ($5600 DK, $5400 FD) — The trade of Mo Sanu pushes Ridley into all formations. He also catches a plus matchup and Matt Ryan (ankle) seems likely to play. Ridley is especially cheap on Fanduel. Update: With Matt Ryan (ankle) out, Ridley is knocked out of cash-game consideration.
Kenny Stills ($4700 DK, $5700 FD) — An every-down player in place of Will Fuller, who was 6th in the entire league in league in air yards.
Corey Davis/AJ Brown ($4400/4100 DK, $5500/5500 FD) — It’s a dream setup for the talented Titans WRs as they have a confident Ryan Tannehill, Delanie Walker is out and the Bucs are the biggest pass funnel in the league.
Mike Williams ($4000 DK, $5700 FD) — On top of the Air Yards Buy Low Model and that doesn’t take into account Keenan Allen’s status (hamstring, questionable). Update: With Keenan now looking doubtful, Williams gets a big boost. He especially cheap on DraftKings.
Darren Waller ($5900 DK, $6800 FD) — The Texans have been very good against tight ends, but Waller’s usage/talent combo is the league’s best.
Evan Engram ($5300 DK, $6300 FD) — $1200 cheaper than he was last week on DraftKings. No Sterling Shepard (concussion) helps.
Hunter Henry ($4900 DK, $6700 FD) — Fantasy’s No. 1 tight end in terms of points per game and the talent matches. Gets a boost if Keenan Allen sits.
Cameron Brate ($2700 DK, $5200 FD) — OJ Howard (hamstring) will sit. Expect Brate to see his snap share rise into the 60-70% range with a solid red-zone role.
Patriots ($4300 DK, $5000 FD) — Little reason to think NE’s defensive dominance will slow down this week against a struggling Browns offense. Easier to fit on Fanduel.
Rams ($3800 DK, $5000 FD) — Awful matchup for the Bengals offense in terms of DL/OL and slow WRs against Jalen Ramsey and company.
Saints ($3500 DK, $4400 FD) — Kyler Murray’s sack rate has dipped considerably, but he still projects to be among the slate leaders in dropbacks. Saints DL vs. Cardinals OL is massive mismatch.
Jaguars ($2900 DK, $4500 FD) — Sam Darnold will almost certainly play better, but the Jets offensive line is a major problem.
Raiders ($1500 DK) — The best “punt” option on DraftKings this week. Deshaun Watson took the most sacks in the league last year and has taken the 6th-most this year.
|1||Deshaun Watson||Deshaun Watson|
|2||Russell Wilson||Russell Wilson|
|3||Matthew Stafford||Matthew Stafford|
|4||Ryan Tannehill||Josh Allen|
|1||Latavius Murray||Latavius Murray|
|2||Leonard Fournette||Leonard Fournette|
|3||Chase Edmonds||Chase Edmonds|
|4||Chris Carson||Chris Carson|
|5||Ty Johnson||Ty Johnson|
|6||James White||Saquon Barkley|
|1||Mike Williams||DeAndre Hopkins|
|2||Kenny Stills||Michael Thomas|
|3||Michael Thomas||Kenny Stills|
|4||DeAndre Hopkins||Kenny Golladay|
|5||Keke Coutee||Mike Williams|
|6||A.J. Brown||Tyler Boyd|
|7||Corey Davis||Courtland Sutton|
|1||Darren Waller||Darren Waller|
|2||Evan Engram||Evan Engram|
|3||Hunter Henry||George Kittle|
|4||Cameron Brate||Hunter Henry|
|5||Austin Hooper||Austin Hooper|