Buffalo @ New England
Team Totals: Bills 24.5, Patriots 15.5
Josh Allen has gone to work in Buffalo’s last four meetings with Bill Belichick’s Patriots, including playoffs all told completing 92 of 136 passes (68%) for 1,099 yards (8.1 YPA), sporting a 13:1 TD-to-INT ratio, and rushing for 41.5 yards per game. The Bills enter Week 7 ranked No. 2 in the NFL in yards per offensive play (6.0), while Allen leads all NFL quarterbacks in fantasy points. … With Damien Harris (neck/concussion) on the shelf, Buffalo’s backfield figures to be narrowed to James Cook and Latavius Murray, who shared snaps evenly (30 apiece) in Week 6’s win over the Giants. Cook did out-touch Murray 14 to 12. The Patriots are yielding the NFL’s seventh-most receptions (32) to running backs; Cook has out-targeted Murray 18 to 8 on the season. I’m valuing Cook as an exciting RB2 play and Murray as a desperate flex option in Week 7.
Allen’s 2023 target distribution: Stefon Diggs 66; Gabe Davis 30; Dawson Knox 25; Dalton Kincaid 19; Cook 18; Deonte Harty 15; Murray 8. … On an absolute tear, Diggs has cleared 100 receiving yards in seven of his last nine games and is on pace this season for career highs in targets (187), catches (138), yards (1,756), and TDs (14).
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