Sunday Night Football
Detroit @ Houston
Team Totals: Lions 26, Texans 22.5
Similar to Lamar Jackson’s hit-or-miss fantasy production due to the Ravens being too good last year, Jared Goff has not attempted more than 25 passes since Week 2 within a Lions unit averaging 6.1 yards per play (fifth) and an NFL-best 32.3 weekly points. I question Houston’s ability to fight back in this spot, but Goff’s QB2 floor is safe regardless of game script; he’s completed 82.8% of his passes (lol) for a 13:1 TD-to-INT ratio in six starts around Detroit’s bye. … #EstablishingIt for the second-lowest Expected Pass Rate to date, Sonic (Jahmyr Gibbs) and Knuckles (David Montgomery) are in a terrific on-paper matchup opposite a Texans front seven allowing 4.7 yards per carry (ninth) and the third-highest rate (7.4%) of explosive runs. For what it’s worth, 50 (48.5%) of Gibbs’ rushes have come with the Lions nursing a 7-point lead, per Fantasy Points Data; Montgomery possesses the higher floor for out-touching Gibbs 21-9 inside the 10. Consider both fringe RB1s.
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