New Orleans @ Seattle
Team Totals: Seahawks 24.5, Saints 17
I smashed the under on New Orleans’ team total in this road bout with Seattle’s arguably league-best defense, which can dominate with its front four to the extent that HC Mike Macdonald’s unit almost completely abstains from blitzing. A Seahawks shutout is in play, especially with Saints 2024 first-round RT Taliese Fuaga (knee/back) likely to sit. … Alvin Kamara is a volume-driven RB2 bet, but it helps that Seattle has yielded a league-high 19 receptions to running backs. … I’m leaving the light on for playing-time monster Juwan Johnson due to his astronomical role and multiple Seahawks secondary injuries; slot corner Devon Witherspoon (knee), SS Julian Love (hamstring), and No. 3 safety Nick Emmanwori’s (ankle) availabilities are all in doubt. Spencer Rattler has shown an obvious affinity for Johnson dating back to the 2024 season. … Chris Olave leads the Saints in targets on throws from Rattler (23) but has only 13/108/0 receiving to show for it. Everyone who drafted Olave had to know frustrating bouts of quarterback-driven inefficiency would accompany his cheap price tag. That’s been even more so the case for Rashid Shaheed.
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