Las Vegas @ New England
Team Totals: Patriots 24.5, Raiders 21
Continuing to feed off an admittedly unsustainable TD Rate — it’s 7.6%; Kirk Cousins’ career TD Rate is 5.1%, and Matthew Stafford led the NFL last season at 7.7% — Cousins enters Week 5 leading the league in touchdown passes (11) set to face a Patriots defense missing both starting boundary CBs in Christian Gonzalez (shoulder) and Carlton Davis (neck). Gonzalez and Davis are big, perimeter press-man specialists; the Pats are expected to shift 5-foot-8, 174-pound slot CB Marcus Jones outside in desperation, creating a massive mismatch favoring X receiver/slot/TE Brock Bowers. The Raiders are also likely to miss bellcow Ashton Jeanty (ankle, questionable), potentially increasing their pass rate. That’s a long way of saying Cousins is very streamable as a QB1 at Foxboro. … Assuming Jeanty sits, explosive rookie Mike Washington Jr. will take over as Las Vegas’ lead back, with Dylan Laube mixing in on passing downs. A Speed Score hero at 6-foot-1, 223, with 4.33 jets, Washington dominated all preseason and has shined on his change-of-pace chances (24/120/1, 5.0 YPC). The Patriots have been smacked for a combined 80/358/3 (4.5 YPC) rushing line by enemy running backs. Washington is a locked-and-loaded upside RB2 play.
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