IMPORTANT Editor’s Note for NFL FANTASY PLAYERS: Underdog Fantasy is offering ALL ETR subscribers an unbeatable deal. Anyone who purchases the ETR Draft Kit will receive a $10 site credit. First-time Underdog customers will receive an additional $25, making our Draft Kit nearly free if you haven’t tried Underdog yet. After purchasing our Draft Kit or Bundle Package, follow the instructions here to claim your reward.
Upside is important, but we aren’t price-sensitive enough when defining it. So many fantasy players only focus on running backs who have the potential to be an every-down back. That makes sense in the early-mid rounds, but the standard needs to change as you get deeper into a draft. In the last six seasons, 272 RBs had a best ball ADP outside the first 10 rounds (min. 200 drafts). Eight of them finished as a top-12 RB on a per-game basis (2.9%). Just 13 finished in the top 24 (4.8%).
It’s possible to hit on those guys, but the probability of it is so low that we should redefine “upside” for late-round picks. A better way to go about it would be to search for players who have a chance of achieving a high-end season relative to ADP — and we can use historical data to define what “a high-end season relative to ADP” means. We talked about that and more in my last article, so check it out if you haven’t already.
We've created the best Draft Kit on the internet.
Our fantasy football Draft Kit was created to prepare you with the highest-quality resources to help you win your league.
Our team of analysts, led by Evan Silva and Adam Levitan, create unmatched content and rankings to make sure you’re ready for draft day. While our Draft Kit is built for competitive fantasy players, we’ve made it fun and easy to consume.
If you aren’t satisfied with our Draft Kit for any reason, just email us within 48 hours of purchase and we’ll provide a full refund.
Full Draft Kit Overview » Already a subscriber? Log In
