Editor’s Note: This Matchup was written by John Daigle, with input from Evan Silva.
San Francisco @ Miami
Team Totals: 49ers 21.5, Dolphins 23
Fresh off a long week following their Thursday night divisional loss to the Rams, Brock Purdy’s season-worst completion rate (45.2%) and yards per attempt (4.6) can be ignored for the monsoon both offenses endured (not to mention their familiarity with one another). Niners HC Kyle Shanahan already rinsed Miami for 33 points in the only game (Week 13 of 2022) he and former OC Mike McDaniel squared off including six passes of 15+ yards, and the Dolphins leaked Aaron Rodgers’ first 300-yard performance in three seasons before C.J. Stroud fell flat (as he’s done all year). I actually view the road team with the higher ceiling here, elevating Purdy as a low-end QB1. … Isaac Guerendo’s absence with foot/hamstring injuries leaves 26-year-old Patrick Taylor Jr. as Shanahan’s de facto RB1 over veteran Ke’Shawn Vaughn, whose only two carries came on the final drive against Chicago leading 38-13 with Brandon Allen under center, and sophomore Izzy Abanikanda, who has had the playbook for two weeks. Although Taylor has been under contract since April, his projected 70/30 usage is volatile enough to consider him an RB3 opposite a Fins front seven that’s strangled backfields to 4.0 yards per carry (24th) and 1.3 yards before contact per rush (27th) after their Week 7 bye; San Francisco’s pass rate could be the biggest beneficiary. Vaughn is merely a stash (against the Lions) for Week 17 in case PTJ was injured.
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