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Thursday Night Football

Cincinnati @ Baltimore

Team Totals: Ravens 24.5, Bengals 21

Joe Burrow enters TNF with fantasy finishes of QB9 (vs. HOU), QB6 (vs. BUF), and QB5 (@ SF) over his last three starts set to face Baltimore’s league-best defense on the road without No. 2 WR Tee Higgins (hamstring). The good news is Ja’Marr Chase (back) looks to be all systems go, while Ravens top CB Marlon Humphrey (calf) likely isn’t. Facing a Ravens defense permitting an NFL-low 4.7 yards per pass attempt, I’m still standing by Burrow as a worthwhile fantasy QB1 considering the extremely high level at which he’s played over the last month-plus. … Joe Mixon’s best box-score asset continues to be usage; he’s played at least 70% of Cincinnati’s offensive snaps in eight straight weeks, yet Mixon hasn’t reached 20 touches in a game since Oct. 8, while the Ravens have yielded the NFL’s 11th-fewest fantasy points to running backs. I’m valuing Mixon as a volume-driven RB2 in a tough draw on a road-underdog team.

Burrow’s 2023 target distribution: Chase 98; Tyler Boyd 61; Higgins 51; Mixon 33; Irv Smith 20; Tanner Hudson 18; Trenton Irwin 17; Drew Sample 11. … Amid back-bruise worries, Chase logged a typical 84% playing-time clip and banked 5/124/1 receiving in Week 10’s loss to the Texans.

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