Buffalo @ Kansas City
Team Totals: Chiefs 25, Bills 24
Their offense on fire in two games since dismissing OC Ken Dorsey, the Bills come off their bye after lighting up the Jets for 32 points in Week 11 and the Eagles for 34 in Week 12. By far, Josh Allen had his biggest rushing day of the season against Philly (9/81/2) while once again embracing putting the team on his back. While no metrics support visiting Arrowhead as a favorable matchup, it was at least comforting to see Jordan Love pick apart DC Steve Spagnuolo’s defense for Week 13’s overall QB7 fantasy finish. Allen is a top-three QB1 play every week. … The Bills’ Week 12 scoring output against Philadelphia could have been even bigger had James Cook not dropped a surefire 30-yard receiving touchdown early in the game. Such mistakes have sporadically cost Cook playing time over the course of the year. He wound up playing one fewer snap and running six fewer pass routes than Latavius Murray in Buffalo’s pre-bye loss. The Bills have also incorporated Ty Johnson since promoting Joe Brady to play-caller, while running Allen more. I’m fading this backfield in an underwhelming road matchup against the stingy Chiefs.
Stefon Diggs’ production has slowed since his white-hot start to the season, but he’s still drawn 19 targets in the Bills’ last two games, while the increased productivity of his teammates should wind up benefiting Diggs.
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