Denver @ Buffalo
Team Totals: Bills 27.5, Broncos 19.5
Broncos-Bills carries Week 10’s second-highest total, rendering it a game to lean toward in fantasy lineup decisions. … Leading the NFL in touchdown rate (6.9%) — a statistic that tends to regress to the mean — Russell Wilson’s actual on-field performance hasn’t measured up to his box-score results. Yet Wilson is positioned to stay statistically useful against a Bills defense that’s lost top CB Tre’Davious White (Achilles), top LB Matt Milano (broken leg), and DT DaQuan Jones (torn pec) for the season. … Javonte Williams’ 53% and 63% playing-time clips in Denver’s two pre-bye games were consecutive season highs. Williams saw 49 opportunities (carries and targets) versus Jaleel McLaughlin’s 13 and Samaje Perine’s nine during that span. Buffalo is permitting 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and the league’s 11th-most fantasy points to running backs. Only five teams have given up more catches to the position.
Wilson’s 2023 target distribution: Courtland Sutton 46; Jerry Jeudy 40; Perine 26; Williams 22; Adam Trautman 18; McLaughlin and Marvin Mims 14; Brandon Johnson 13. … Sutton and Jeudy both survived the trade deadline without being dealt. In a low-volume passing offense, Sutton has posted top-30 WR fantasy numbers, yet it’s fueled almost entirely by TDs.
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