CFB DFS Top Plays: Week 3 (Saturday Night)

Understanding optimal lineups for cash games is extremely important, even if you only play tournaments. Players in our cash pool are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo, and typically feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. These are the best plays on the board when considering price, context, and positional scarcity. These are usually pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will typically mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options, often in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership, game stacks, or correlation. In large-field tournaments, we should be much more mindful of ownership. These are our Top Plays considering the following factors: mean projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.”

They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

QUARTERBACK

Arch Manning (TEX – DK $8,800) – After a miraculous fourth-quarter comeback to stun Ohio State and some early-week media drama, Arch and Steve Sarkisian will look to slap UTSA around as 30-point favorites. After last week’s win, Arch finds himself firmly in the Heisman race, and Texas has the highest implied team total on the slate at 44.5 points. The Texas offense should be able to do whatever they want against a UTSA defense that just allowed 481 yards of total offense to Texas State.