Survivor Pool Breakdown: Week 10

Not only do the slates get harder as the year wears on in survivor, but the stress begins to build with each passing week. The Week 10 slate has a few contending teams as large favorites, mixed with a handful of very messy options that you may want to try to sneak through. Let’s take a look at all of them.

Rams at Cardinals

Spread: Rams -9.5

Total: 39.5

ETR Ownership: 43.1%

The Rams’ front four will have a trench advantage in this matchup against Carson Beck in his first NFL start. The Rams’ defense can realistically carry Los Angeles to a victory with very little help from the offense, and that’s the slant I’d build a Rams position on from a pure football standpoint.

My concern here is that the Rams are entering this game with a catastrophe of a wide receiver group, with both Puka Nacua and Davante Adams sidelined. That makes taking L.A. at our projected 43.1% ownership difficult, as the Rams continue to be a contender that hasn’t played a single game at full strength this season.

That said, after the Rams go on their bye next week, they have a pretty brutal second-half schedule, where their games against underwhelming Dallas and Tampa are easily the best remaining options. 

Ultimately, Arizona is Los Angeles’ weakest remaining opponent. And if L.A. lost to the Cardinals, that means the Rams would get swept by Arizona this season, this time in a game where Beck gets the better of Matthew Stafford. I doubt that happens, and the Rams’ future value isn’t very strong. Deciding to pass on them here is driven by game theory and leverage, if you have another option you’re comfortable playing on this slate.

I don’t have a lot of conviction either way, as I’m not overly worried about the Rams losing here, but I would also completely understand not wanting to play them if they come in at over 40% ownership.

Best Remaining Matchups: Week 15 vs. DAL, Week 17 at TB

Bills at Jets