Tampa Bay @ San Francisco
Team Totals: 49ers 27, Bucs 15
The Bucs’ offense is in trouble in Week 11’s road contest with a 49ers defense trotting out Nick Bosa, Chase Young, and Randy Gregory on the edges with Arik Armstead and Javon Hargrave inside. That front rendered a quality Jaguars offense fully dysfunctional in Week 10. I’m teeing up the Niners’ D/ST and staying away from Baker Mayfield here. … Rachaad White enters Week 11 averaging 20.3 touches for 106.3 yards and 0.75 TDs over Tampa’s last four games. In that same time frame, White has turned 20 targets into 19 catches, 228 yards, and a score. Nothing about White’s Week 11 matchup stands out positively, but his workload is as secure as any NFL running back’s, especially if the Bucs fall behind.
Mayfield’s 2023 target distribution: Mike Evans 70; Chris Godwin 68; Cade Otton 41; White 37; Trey Palmer 31; Deven Thompkins 20. … Even after dropping two passes in last week’s first half — including a wide-open touchdown — Evans went off for 6/143/1 receiving against the Titans. Evans is collecting a legitimate Hall-of-Fame résumé.
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