Thursday Night Football
Jacksonville @ New Orleans
Team Totals: Saints 21, Jaguars 18
Especially on a short week, signs point toward Trevor Lawrence (knee sprain) missing Thursday Night Football in favor of 2017 49ers third-round pick C.J. Beathard, who’s attempted 15 passes over the past three seasons. Playing elite pass defense to date, New Orleans has held opponents to the NFL’s second-lowest completion rate (55.9%) and fifth-fewest yards per pass attempt (5.4) while banking the league’s second-most interceptions (8). Only seven defenses have yielded fewer fantasy quarterback points than the Saints. Even on the off chance Lawrence plays, I’d be out on him as a QB1 option. New Orleans’ D/ST is an enticing bet regardless. … Over his last five games, Travis Etienne is averaging 22.6 touches for 108 yards and 0.6 TDs. The Saints have yet to permit a single running back touchdown while holding the position to 3.5 yards per carry. Etienne’s monster weekly workloads and big-play capability keep him in high-end RB1 contention. Jaguars third-round RB Tank Bigsby is averaging a mere 3.2 touches per game.
You’re on your own throwing darts at Jaguars pass catchers should Beathard start. … Calvin Ridley drew a year-high 34% target share in Week 6’s win over the Colts but has settled in as a boom-bust WR2 with 40 yards or fewer in four of six games and 100+ yards in the other two.
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