Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh
Team Totals: Jaguars 22.5, Steelers 19.5
Jaguars-Steelers profiles as a low-scoring affair featuring high-functioning defenses that win up front and stoutly play the pass. Although Trevor Lawrence is enjoying a strong real-life third NFL campaign, he’s yet to reach 19 fantasy points in an individual game, while Pittsburgh’s quarterback production allowed is middling. I’m valuing Lawrence as a mid-range to high-end QB2 play. … Travis Etienne leads the NFL in carries (127) and ranks No. 4 among running backs in receiving yards (196). He’s lapping third-round pick Tank Bigsby, averaging 21.6 touches per game to Bigsby’s 3.0 through seven weeks. Pittsburgh offers a friendly matchup, surrendering 4.7 yards per carry and 140.7 total yards per game to opposing backs. Etienne has earned top-three every-week RB1 treatment. … I’m still clinging tightly to Bigsby as an end-of-bench stash. He’s a skilled rookie one Etienne injury from league-winning upside down the stretch.
Lawrence’s 2023 target distribution: Christian Kirk 55; Evan Engram 51; Calvin Ridley 48; Etienne 28; Zay Jones 18; Jamal Agnew 12. … Kirk is averaging a 6.3/77.5/0.5 receiving line on a team-best 8.7 targets over Jacksonville’s last six games. Only the Chargers are allowing more fantasy points to wide receivers than the Steelers.
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