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Detroit @ Chicago

Team Totals: Lions 23.5, Bears 20

Fresh off a rebound game at New Orleans following two weeks of turnover-riddled struggles, Jared Goff encounters a Bears defense these same Lions knifed for 31 points just three weeks back. Goff’s career-long road splits bode negatively for his chances of building on last week’s momentum, however, and Goff appears unlikely to have stud C Frank Ragnow (knee, back, toe). I’m valuing Goff as a low-end QB1 here. … This is a #RevengeGame for David Montgomery against his former team, while the Lions tend to lean more on Montgomery when they have leads. They’re favored by 3.5 points at Soldier Field. Montgomery is averaging 18.3 touches in victories this season versus 16.0 in losses. I’m still teeing up Jahmyr Gibbs with confidence for his explosive-play ability, but I’m betting Montgomery outscores him at Soldier Field.

Amon-Ra St. Brown hosed down the Bears for 8/77/1 receiving in Week 11. St. Brown has at least 100 yards and/or a touchdown in all 11 of his appearances this season.

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