Pittsburgh @ Atlanta
Team Totals: Falcons 22.5, Steelers 19.5
The Steelers profile as one of football’s run-heaviest teams after first-year OC Arthur Smith’s past Tennessee and Atlanta offenses finished third, first, 29th, second, and 10th in rushing attempts per game. This is a #RevengeGame for Smith against the Falcons, who fired him after three seasons as coach. With Jaylen Warren coming off a multi-week hamstring strain, Najee Harris is positioned to vie for Week 1’s league lead in carries. I’m actively looking for ways to bet on Harris to lead the NFL in Opening Day rushing. If Warren can’t go, Smith confidante Cordarrelle Patterson would figure to fill in as Pittsburgh’s change-up back. Warren did make it sound early this week like he’s likelier than not to suit up for a rotational role. … HC Mike Tomlin named Russell Wilson the Steelers’ Week 1 starter after up-and-down preseasons from both Wilson and Justin Fields. I’m betting both make five-plus starts in 2024. 36 later this year, Wilson’s rushing production is in annual descent, while he’s sure to be on a short leash in an extreme low-volume passing attack.
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