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Houston @ N.Y. Jets

Team Totals: Texans 18.5, Jets 15

On track to become the first rookie of the Super Bowl era to lead the NFL in passing yards, C.J. Stroud’s near-term outlook is nevertheless dicey on the road facing a top-five pass defense in what are expected to be inclement conditions in a game with a floor-level 33.5-point total while missing dynamic playmaker Tank Dell (broken ankle/fibula). I’m fading Stroud where possible in Week 14 lineup decisions. … His run game back to a sputtering state, OC Bobby Slowik appeared to deploy a “hot” hand Week 13 approach against Denver with Dameon Pierce returning to the top of the pecking order on 15 touches versus Devin Singletary’s nine. Dare Ogunbowale has resumed vulturing sporadic third-down snaps. I want no part of any member of this backfield in a Texans-Jets game environment that seems very likely to mute scoring.

Sans Dell, I’m expecting Nico Collins and Robert Woods to operate as Houston’s main outside receivers with Noah Brown in the slot and John Metchie mixing in as the No. 4.

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