Week 17 Record: 11-13, -$252
YTD: 235-207, +482
The goal with our betting product is winning and full transparency. Every week, we’ll recap a selection of our official prop bets, telling you what we got right, what we got wrong, and how we got there. Here’s a look back at Week 17.
Brock Purdy Over 258.5 Passing Yards -125 (230, L)
Mean proj: 287
Purdy has been a picture of efficiency all year and was set up well against a terrible Commanders pass defense ranking dead last in explosive passes allowed.
QBs have been outperforming passing expectations all year against Washington, going 10-5 (66.7%) to the under on their closing lines on passing yards.
Purdy had eclipsed 300 passing yards five times already this year against similarly weak secondaries, and the main betting markets had them with a team total of 31.5 points, the highest on the slate.
We projected team volume reasonably well, but Purdy’s efficiency was a huge disappointment in this matchup, and the pass rate was a miss.
Jaren Hall Over 28.5 Passing Attempts -130 (10, L)
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