The goal with our betting product is winning and full transparency. Every week, we’ll recap a selection of our official prop bets, telling you what we got right, what we got wrong, and how we got there. Here’s a look back at Week 2.
Week 2 Officials Record: 9-8, +$54
Week 2 Alts: 4-7, +$244
Season officials: 19-15, +$304; 7.52% ROI
Season alts: 6-19, +$296; 72.68% ROI
Props Total: +$600, 13.5% ROI
Josh Allen U8.5 Rushing Attempts -105 (2, W)
Mean proj: 7.9
While we were hoping that Allen’s injured hand would limit his designed runs, we weren’t counting on it and had no injury docks in place. This projection was a product of solid inputs with some freeroll upside on the injured hand — plus the fact that Miami played a ton of zone defense in Week 1, which helps to limit QB scrambles.
The injured and heavily taped-up hand was likely a factor for Allen, though, as he had just one designed run (3.84 average last year) and one scramble, the first time that’s happened in his last 19 games.
ETR NFL Player Props
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