Survivor Pool Breakdown: Week 3

Through two weeks, the chalk has been victorious and thus most survivor pool entries are still alive. The Week 3 slate is very interesting, as it has a Thursday night contender as a double-digit favorite, volatile chalk, and another big favorite that is facing a backup quarterback. Let’s take a look at the Week 3 survivor slate.

Below, I’ll discuss multiple games, listed from highest projected ownership to least for teams with 1% projected ownership serving as the cutoff. As always, I will check in via the survivor pool channel in Discord to discuss any updates I have on any matchup.

Seahawks vs. Saints

Spread: Seahawks -7.5

Total: 41.5

Ownership: 33%

From a pure football standpoint, Seattle has a real home-field advantage, their defensive front should have a trench advantage, and the Saints are playing their first game on the road of the season. New Orleans has been feisty, their defensive front has been better than I expected, and they’ve been well coached on offense to this point. I could see the Saints’ passing game struggling in this matchup, but if they play at the level they did in the first two weeks, I can now see how New Orleans could make this one uncomfortable.

Another aspect to consider here is that the Seahawks just went into Pittsburgh and left with a win last week, but that 31-17 score was a bit inflated by a freak special teams touchdown. From a team value standpoint, treat that as more of a one-score victory in what was otherwise a very tight game.

From a game-theory standpoint, we expect Seattle to be very highly owned because this is their best matchup of the year and they have limited future value. Traditionally, I try to avoid volatile teams like Seattle when they are the most popular option on the slate.

I play pretty good volume in survivor, so I won’t outright fade Seattle, but I’ll have less exposure than the field.

Best Remaining Matchups: Week 12 at TEN, Week 15 vs. IND, Week 17 at CAR