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In the below table, you will find Underdog’s Fantasy DFS Pick ‘Em projections. On Saturdays by 3p.m. ET, we will add in our projections so you can compare. The table will update continuously. A reminder that if you haven’t signed up for Underdog Fantasy yet, use promo code ETR and you’ll receive a sign-up bonus up to $100.

Some tips for using the table below:

  • Our mean projection is our average expectation for a stat category based on our projected volume and efficiency for the player. These are the same expectations that feed our fantasy-point projections. Our mean projections serve as an initial guide, but please keep in mind a player’s median projection, what we’d expect them to achieve 50% of the time, is more applicable here. In general, a player’s median outcome is lower than our mean projections due to a combination of how player distributions work and outcomes that are a bit less predictable (like an in-game injury).
  • The two difference columns are there for ease of sorting and organizing the table. However, they aren’t by themselves indications of the strength of a play. For example, a player who projects for 8 yards and has an Underdog stat of 5 yards will have a percentage difference of 60%, but there’s a lot of volatility there. Another player may have a yardage projection of 250 yards and an Underdog stat of 200 yards. The percentage difference is far less, but the latter would be a better “above” selection than the former.
  • The implied outcome formula is to make it clear if our mean projection is over or under the Underdog stat. It’s there primarily for clarity purposes since our difference columns are absolute values. We don’t want you to mistakenly select “above” because you see a raw difference of 35.6 when the projection is 74.4 yards and the Underdog stat is 100 yards (this would be “below”).
  • For more on how to attack this game format, read this article.

 

 

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We don’t sell lineups or claim to have all of the answers. We do analyze what’s happening in a way that’s digestible and actionable, with a goal of preparing you to make the best decisions possible during the 2022 NFL season.

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