Kansas City @ Denver
Team Totals: Chiefs 23.5, Broncos 20
In Patrick Mahomes’ three meetings with Denver since Vance Joseph became Broncos defensive coordinator in 2023, these two teams have played to exceptionally low-scoring results of 16-14, 24-9, and 19-8. The Chiefs are coming off Week 10’s bye — Andy Reid’s post-bye success is well known — while Denver’s losses of top CB Patrick Surtain II (pec) and ILB Alex Singleton (testicular surgery) boost Mahomes’ outlook slightly. Yet Mahomes has thrown for 300+ yards in just one of nine starts this season, while the Broncos have allowed a league-low eight passing TDs. We should expect Mahomes to produce at the low end of his range of usual outcomes. … Isiah Pacheco (knee) isn’t ready to return; in Week 9’s pre-bye loss to Buffalo, Kareem Hunt handled 12 touches on a 78% playing-time clip with Brashard Smith (3, 20%) distantly behind. Hunt remains a TD-dependent RB2/flex option.
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