Select Page

NFL In-Season Product Available NOW!

Polymarket Sign-Up Bonus: Deposit $10, get $50!

Trade on NFL games every week on Polymarket. Sign up for Polymarket with code ETR for a $50 bonus when you deposit $10.

Sign Up Now

 

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

 

In Week 1, I played the Jaguars and Steelers in nearly all of my entries. Last week, I played the 49ers in roughly three quarters of my entries. This week, I plan to diversify significantly more.

 

Chiefs at Dolphins

Spread: Chiefs -10.5

Total: 46.5

ETR Ownership: 45.4%

Nobody likes bounce-back or letdown spots more than I do, but I’m not sure most football fans realize how bad the Miami Dolphins are right now. Similar to last week, the Chiefs are better than Miami at every position group, except linebacker and running back, and Kansas City has the radically better coaching staff.

I’d be surprised if Patrick Mahomes and/or Kenneth Walker III didn’t have strong days against this defense, which simply does not disrupt the quarterback.

Steve Spagnuolo against Malik Willis in what will likely be another negative game script for Miami, where Kansas City will have a trench advantage, is another positive for the Chiefs.

Bottom line: From a pure football perspective, many things will need to go wrong for Kansas City to actually lose this game.

That said, I generally try to hold Kansas City in as many entries as possible, every year. That Week 9-11 stretch in particular is very enticing.

Overall, I will play some Kansas City with little reservation, but I’m going to do my best to be below the field so I have one of the most reliable teams in the league in as many live entries as possible later in the year.

Best Remaining Matchups: Week 4 at LV, Week 9 vs. NYJ, Week 10 at ATL, Week 11 vs. ARI, Week 18 vs. LV

 

Packers vs. Falcons (TNF)

We create the highest-quality NFL content

Our team includes renowned fantasy analysts Evan Silva and Adam Levitan, high-stakes professional DFS players, and specialists who cover niche areas that we believe are important to understand.

We don’t sell lineups or claim to have all of the answers. We do analyze what’s happening in a way that’s digestible and actionable, to prepare you to make the best decisions possible during the 2026 NFL season.

To read this content, you’ll need our NFL In-Season package.

Full Details! » Already a subscriber? Log In