Thorman’s Snaps and Pace: Week 6

Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Snaps & Pace, where we examine trends in play volume and game pace. It is meant to be a 30,000-foot view of upcoming contests, with the goal of identifying which matchups will — and which will not — be played on fertile fantasy soil. For a primer on why this is important, click here.

The bye weeks are upon us and London will receive the worst exports Florida has to offer — at least from an NFL standpoint. It once again spells a thin main slate, with only three games in the late window. The Bucs, Eagles, and Bills are in primetime, and we are staring at few matchups between up-tempo offenses. There are hot spots, thankfully, so let’s dive in.

As always, “situation neutral” is meant to provide context, refers to plays while the game is within seven points during the first three quarters (minus the final two minutes of the first half), and is derived via the intrepid RotoViz Pace Tool.

Up In Pace

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Football Team

While the Chiefs’ offense is out of sync, plenty of teams would love to be out of sync like the Chiefs. They are still operating at the eighth-quickest situation-neutral pace, their contests have been satisfactorily voluminous (127.4 combined plays; 10th most), and their games lead the league by a mile in average total points (63.4). Kansas City ranks second in ETR’s pass rate above expectation, and a Patrick Mahomes turnaround is clearly the path out of their funk. Perhaps the pending absence of Clyde Edwards-Helaire results in their pass rate further elevating, and a matchup with Little Danny’s team to be named later can only help.