SHOWDOWN STRATEGY & TRENDS
We’ve spent the past three seasons gathering a large enough sample to confidently review contest results to identify where we have an edge and how we can improve our overall lineup-building process. We recommend reviewing this article to understand macro concepts suited for beating large-field showdown tournaments. There you’ll find our thoughts on proper captain selection, optimal roster construction, and some ideas on how to ensure your lineups aren’t duplicated. Like most DFS formats, the best showdown lineups are created where uniqueness, optimal correlation, and max projected points meet. We’ll continually update this section with the latest showdown strategy and trends as the 2023 season progresses. Below you can review winning lineups from the 2020-22 seasons to better familiarize yourself with winning roster construction.
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Historical Winning LineupsNote: ‘Total ownership’ is calculated using each player’s Total Ownership % (Flex+CPT) from the flagship GPP on DraftKings
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Packers at Bears ($47700 Salary Used)Â (191.66% Total Ownership): Captain Allen Robinson, Aaron Rodgers, Tarik Cohen, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Jimmy Graham, Packers DST – Lineup entered (3) times
Steelers at Patriots ($46100) (223.0%): Captain Tom Brady, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Julian Edelman, Phillip Dorsett, Stephen Gostkowski, Rex Burkhead – (1)
Texans at Saints ($49900) (244.79%): Captain DeAndre Hopkins, Deshaun Watson, Michael Thomas, Ted Ginn Jr., Kenny Stills, Wil Lutz – (13)
Broncos at Raiders ($49000) (240.32%): Captain Josh Jacobs, Emmanuel Sanders, Courtland Sutton, Tyrell Williams, Darren Waller, Brandon McManus – (1)
Buccaneers at Panthers ($48500) (225.70%): Captain Chris Godwin, Cam Newton, Curtis Samuel, D.J. Moore, Greg Olsen, Joey Slye – (1)
Eagles at Falcons ($49300) (253.86%): Captain Julio Jones, Carson Wentz, Matt Ryan, Calvin Ridley, Nelson Agholor, Mack Hollins
Browns at Jets ($48300) (237.27%): Captain Odell Beckham Jr., Nick Chubb, Le’Veon Bell, Browns DST, Austin Seibert, D’ernest Johnson – (4)
Titans at Jaguars ($48600) (258.3%): Captain Marcus Mariota, Leonard Fournette, Gardner Minshew, D.J. Chark Jr., Jaguars DST, Adam Humphries – (1)
Rams at Browns ($49700) (238.92%): Captain Cooper Kupp, Jared Goff, Brandin Cooks, Nick Chubb, Browns DST, Greg Zuerlein –Â
Bears at Redskins ($50000) (235.64%): Captain Mitchell Trubisky, Case Keenum, Terry McLaurin, Bears DST, Paul Richardson Jr., Taylor Gabriel – (11)
Eagles at Packers ($47300) (245.93%): Captain Jordan Howard, Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Carson Wentz, Jimmy Graham, Geronimo Allison – (4)
Cowboys at Saints ($47800) (231.88%): Captain Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys DST, Wil Lutz, Saints DST – (3)
Bengals at Steelers ($48700) (198.22%): Captain James Conner, Mason Rudolph, Joe Mixon, Diontae Johnson, Steelers DST, Jaylen Samuels – (1)
Rams at Seahawks ($50000) (273.06%): Captain Cooper Kupp, Chris Carson, Gerald Everett, Jared Goff, Russell Wilson, Greg Zuerlein – (748)
Colts at Chiefs ($47200) (241.73%): Captain Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Jacoby Brissett, Marlon Mack, Colts DST, Byron Pringle – (1)
Browns at 49ers ($46400) (239.74%): Captain Matt Breida, Jarvis Landry, Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle, Tevin Coleman, 49ers DST – (4)
Giants at Patriots ($46700) (322.95%): Captain Patriots DST, Tom Brady, Julian Edelman, Golden Tate, James White, Brandon Bolden – (53)
Steelers at Chargers ($44700) (198.69%): Captain James Conner, Philip Rivers, Hunter Henry, Mike Williams, Benny Snell Jr., Steelers DST – (1)
Lions at Packers ($49800) (265.43%): Captain Matt Prater, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Kenny Golladay, Kerryon Johnson, Jamaal Williams – (23)
Chiefs at Broncos ($47000) (225.37%): Captain Chief DST, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Emmanuel Sanders, Courtland Sutton, Royce Freeman – (1)
Eagles at Cowboys ($46300) (231.89%): Captain Ezekiel Elliott, Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper, Cowboys DST, Dallas Goedert, Brett Maher – (4)
Patriots at Jets ($48800) (242.5%): Captain Patriots DST, Julian Edelman, Sony Michel, James White, Phillip Dorsett, Demaryius Thomas – (73)
Redskins at Vikings ($49900) (262.92%): Captain Dalvin Cook, Stefon Diggs, Vikings DST, Adrian Peterson, Dan Bailey, Dustin Hopkins – (343)
Packers at Chiefs ($49600) (244.78%): Captain Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Matt Moore, Jamaal Williams, Damien Williams, Mecole Hardman – (2)
Dolphins at Steelers ($49700) (259.67%): Captain JuJu Smith-Schuster, James Conner, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Diontae Johnson, Allen Hurns, Chris Boswell – (8)Â
49ers at Cardinals ($48800) (252.12%): Captain Kenyan Drake, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyler Murray, George Kittle, Emmanuel Sanders, Andy Isabella – (2)
Patriots at Ravens ($49600) (236.43%): Captain Julian Edelman, Lamar Jackson, James White, Mark Ingram III, Mohamed Sanu, Nick Boyle – (1)
Cowboys at Giants ($48200) (215.3%): Captain Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper, Daniel Jones, Cowboys DST, Jason Witten, Brett Maher – (3)
Chargers at Raiders ($49600) (284.1%): Captain Melvin Gordon III, Philip Rivers, Josh Jacobs, Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler, Raiders DST – (12)
Vikings at Cowboys ($49600) (215.38%): Captain Randall Cobb, Dalvin Cook, Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper, Kyle Rudolph, Irv Smith Jr. – (3)
Seahawks at 49ers ($49900) (240.23%): Captain Chris Carson, Russell Wilson, Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers DST, Deebo Samuel, Jacob Hollister – (24)
Steelers at Browns ($49100) (219.24%): Captain Baker Mayfield, Jaylen Samuels, Mason Rudolph, Jarvis Landry, Kareem Hunt, Browns DST – (2)
Bears at Rams ($49800) (290.15%): Captain Todd Gurley II, Cooper Kupp, Mitchell Trubisky, Taylor Gabriel, Rams DST, Tarik Cohen – (59)
Chiefs at Chargers ($49500) (182.25%): Captain Austin Ekeler, Travis Kelce, Keenan Allen, Philip Rivers, Hunter Henry, LeSean McCoy – (14)
Colts at Texans ($49900) (258.29%): Captain DeAndre Hopkins, Deshaun Watson, Will Fuller, Jonathan Williams, Eric Ebron, Ka’imi Fairbairn – (144)
Packers at 49ers ($46200) (217.84%): Captain George Kittle, Jimmy Garoppolo, Davante Adams, Jamaal Williams, Raheem Mostert, Chase McLaughlin – (1)
Ravens at Rams ($49800) (196.98%): Captain Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram II, Marquise Brown, Robert Woods, Willie Snead IV, Tyler Higbee – (15)
Saints at Falcons: Captain Matt Ryan, Saints DST, Russell Gage, Alvin Kamara, Wil Lutz, Calvin Ridley – (1)
Patriots at Texans ($49400) (256.39%): Captain Duke Johnson, Tom Brady, Deshaun Watson, Julian Edelman, James White, Kenny Stills – (74)
Vikings at Seahawks ($49700) (251.83%): Captain Rashaad Penny, Russell Wilson, Dalvin Cook, Chris Carson, Kirk Cousins, David Moore – (22)
Cowboys at Bears ($49400) (232.33%): Captain Mitchell Trubisky, Ezekiel Elliott, Allen Robinson II, Michael Gallup, Anthony Miller, J.P. Holtz – (2)
Giants at Eagles ($47000) (200.3%): Captain Darius Slayton, Carson Wentz, Zach Ertz, Eli Manning, Sterling Shepard, Boston Scott – (1)
Jets at Ravens ($49300) (212.82%): Captain Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram II, Mark Andrews, Jamison Crowder, Seth Roberts, Miles Boykin – (15)
Bills at Steelers ($47100) (262.26%): Captain Bills DST, Josh Allen, James Conner, John Brown, James Washington, Nick Vannett – (4)Â
Colts at Saints ($47500) (248.77%): Captain Michael Thomas, Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, Wil Lutz, Taysom Hill, Jordan Wilkins – (1)
Rams at 49ers ($49600) (241.43%): Captain Tyler Higbee, Jared Goff, George Kittle, Robert Woods, Deebo Samuel, Brandin Cooks – (4)
Chiefs at Bears ($49400) (252.12%): Captain Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Allen Robinson, Damien Williams, Harrison Butker, Javon Wims – (7)
Packers at Vikings ($47600) (202.83%): Captain Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, Packers DST, Mason Crosby, Ameer Abdullah
49ers at Seahawks ($49900) (198.36%): Captain Deebo Samuel, Russell Wilson, Raheem Mostert, D.K. Metcalf, Travis Homer, Kyle Juszczyk
Titans at Patriots ($49000) (218.14%): Captain Derrick Henry, Julian Edelman, James White, Rex Burkhead, Titans DST, Nick Folk – (1)
Seahawks at Eagles ($46400) (225.92%): Captain D.K. Metcalf, Russell Wilson, Dallas Goedert, Marshawn Lynch, Jake Elliot, Seahawks DST
Titans at Ravens ($50000) (225.02%): Captain Marquise Brown, Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, Ryan Tannehill, Hayden Hurst, Kalif Raymond – (9)
Seahawks at Packers ($49800) (240.48%): Captain Davante Adams, Russell Wilson, Aaron Jones, Tyler Lockett, Jason Myers, Luke Willson – (3)
Packers at 49ers ($49600) (257.82%): Captain Raheem Mostert, Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, 49ers DST, Robbie Gould – (30)
2020:
Texans at Chiefs ($49600) (205.03%): Captain Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Deshaun Watson, Will Fuller V, David Johnson, Sammy Watkins, Jordan Akins- (36)
Cowboys at Rams ($49200) (242.03%): Captain Malcom Brown, Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Robert Woods, Sam Sloman – (2)
Steelers at Giants ($49600) (282.00%): Captain Darius Slayton, Saquon Barkley, Ben Roethlisberger, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Daniel Jones, Benny Snell – (16)
Titans at Broncos ($47000) (268.48%): Captain Corey Davis, Derrick Henry, Ryan Tannehill, Melvin Gordon III, Noah Fant, Adam Humphries – (1)
Bengals at Browns ($49800) (284.59%): Captain Nick Chubb, Joe Burrow, Odell Beckham, Kareem Hunt, Tyler Boyd, C.J. Uzomah – (248)
Patriots at Seahawks ($49200) (249.63%): Captain Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Julian Edelman, N’Keal Harry, Damiere Byrd, David Moore – (37)
Saints at Raiders ($49500) (249.99%): Captain Alvin Kamara, Drew Brees, Darren Waller, Daniel Carlson, Jalen Richard – (23)
Dolphins at Jaguars ($48300) (237.04%): Captain James Robinson, Ryan Fitzpatrick, DeVante Parker, Myles Gaskin, Preston Williams, Dolphins DST – (2)
Packers at Saints ($48300) (257.44%): Captain Alvin Kamara, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Allen Lazard, Robert Tonyan, Marcedes Lewis – (2)
Chiefs at Ravens ($50000) (213.05%): Captain Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Mecole Hardman, Devin Duvernay – (71)
Broncos at Jets ($49300) (242.83%): Captain Melvin Gordon III, Sam Darnold, Jamison Crowder, Tim Patrick, Brandon McManus, Sam Ficken – (46)
Eagles at 49ers ($49900) (255.58%): Captain George Kittle, Carson Wentz, Jerick McKinnon, Brandon Aiyuk, Greg Ward, Eagles DST – (1)
Falcons at Packers ($45600) (235.72%): Captain Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Todd Gurley II, Robert Tonyan, Jamaal Williams, Olamide Zaccheus – (1)
Buccaneers at Bears ($49900) (260.24%): Captain Ronald Jones, Allen Robinson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Jimmy Graham, Ryan Succop – (179)
Vikings at Seahawks ($48500) (237.22%): Captain Adam Thielen, Russell Wilson, DK Metcalf, Chris Carson, Alexander Mattison, Irv Smith – (8)
Chargers at Saints ($49700) (292.49%): Captain Mike Williams, Alvin Kamara, Drew Brees, Justin Herbert, Emmanuel Sanders, Wil Lutz – (157)
Bills at Titans ($48700) (205.34%): Captain Ryan Tannehill, Stefon Diggs, A.J. Brown, Jonnu Smith, Cole Beasley, T.J. Yeldon – (7)
Rams at 49ers ($49800) (238.15%): Captain George Kittle, Jared Goff, Jimmy Garoppolo, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, Josh Reynolds – (42)
Chiefs at Bills ($49600) (220.4%): Captain Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Stefon Diggs, Demarcus Robinson, Darrel Williams (11)
Cardinals at Cowboys ($49300) (217.74%): Captain Kenyan Drake, Kyler Murray, Andy Dalton, Amari Cooper, Christian Kirk, Cardinals – (10)
Giants at Eagles ($47600) (234.85%): Captain Carson Wentz, Daniel Jones, Boston Scott, Sterling Shepard, Greg Ward, Wayne Gallman – (2)
Falcons at Panthers ($49700) (227.65%): Captain Curtis Samuel, Matt Ryan, Teddy Bridgewater, Julio Jones, Hayden Hurst, Younghoe Koo – (52)
Cowboys at Eagles ($46900) (296.95%): Captain Eagles DST, Carson Wentz, Travis Fulgham, Boston Scott, Jalen Reagor, Michael Gallup – (25)
Buccaneers at Giants ($49800) (254.73%): Captain Ryan Succop, Tom Brady, Mike Evans, Daniel Jones, Sterling Shepard, Wayne Gallman
Packers at 49ers ($44300) (299.05%): Captain Richie James, Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, Nick Mullens, Jerick McKinnon, Marquez Valdes-Scantling – (2)
Saints at Buccaneers ($49400) (181.81%): Captain Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, Mike Evans, Taysom Hill, Emmanuel Sanders, Saints – (2)
Patriots at Jets ($48700) (249.24%): Captain Jakobi Meyers, Cam Newton, Joe Flacco, Rex Burkhead, Breshad Perriman, Nick Folk – (25)
Colts at Titans ($46100) (230.92%): Captain Nyheim Hines, Derrick Henry, Philip Rivers, Corey Davis, Michael Pittman, Rodrigo Blankenship – (2)
Ravens at Patriots ($49500) (276.17%): Captain Willie Snead IV, Lamar Jackson, Cam Newton, Jakobi Meyers, Rex Burkhead, Gus Edwards – (123)
Vikings at Bears ($44500) (165.67%): Captain Justin Jefferson, Kirk Cousins, Adam Thielen, Cordarrelle Patterson, Bears, Vikings – (2)
Seahawks at Cardinals ($48500) (210.92%): Captain Tyler Lockett, Kyler Murray, Kenyan Drake, Chase Edmonds, Carlos Hyde, Larry Fitzgerald – (2)
Chiefs at Raiders ($49900) (226.19%): Captain Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Darren Waller, Nelson Agholor, Le’Veon Bell – (15)
Rams at Buccaneers ($49300) (219.43%): Captain Robert Woods, Jared Goff, Cooper Kupp, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Van Jefferson – (6)
Bears at Packers ($48000) (228.09%): Captain David Montgomery, Aaron Rodgers, Allen Robinson II, Robert Tonyan, Packers, Jamaal Williams – (2)
Seahawks at Eagles ($48700) (194.13%): Captain DK Metcalf, Carson Wentz, Chris Carson, Dallas Goedert, Jason Myers, Richard Rodgers – (1)
Ravens at Steelers ($49300) (234.65%): Captain Marquise Brown, Ben Roethlisberger, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Benny Snell, Steelers DST, Ravens DST – (6)
Broncos at Chiefs ($48200) (266.04%): Captain Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes, Melvin Gordon III, Tim Patrick, Harrison Butker, Le’Veon Bell – (9)
Bills at 49ers ($50000) (283.37%): Captain Cole Beasley, Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, Nick Mullens, Brandon Aiyuk, Isaiah McKenzie – (209)
Patriots at Rams ($44600) (279.85%): Captain Cam Akers, Jared Goff, Cooper Kupp, Jakobi Meyers, Rams, Damiere Byrd – (2)
Steelers at Bills ($48800) (233.91%): Captain Stefon Diggs, Josh Allen, Ben Roethlisberger, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Bills, Jaylen Samuels – (2)
Ravens at Browns ($50000) (273.6%): Captain Kareem Hunt, Lamar Jackson, Nick Chubb, Baker Mayfield, Rashard Higgins, David Njoku – (109)
Chargers at Raiders ($48500) (227.86%): Captain Justin Herbert, Darren Waller, Josh Jacobs, Hunter Henry, Tyron Johnson, Devontae Booker – (1)
Browns at Giants ($49100) (267.22%): Captain Austin Hooper, Nick Chubb, Baker Mayfield, Jarvis Landry, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram – (9)
Steelers at Bengals ($48500) (224.26%): Captain Benny Snell, Ben Roethlisberger, Diontae Johnson, Ryan Finley, Giovani Bernard, Austin Seibert – (1)
Vikings at Saints ($49100) (226.75%): Captain Alvin Kamara, Kirk Cousins, Adam Thielen, Irv Smith, Latavius Murray, Wil Lutz – (28)
Titans at Packers ($49700) (243.92%): Captain Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, Ryan Tannehill, Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon, Equanimeous St. Brown – (25)
Bills at Patriots ($49700) (264.62%): Captain Stefon Diggs, Josh Allen, Cam Newton, Zack Moss, Tyler Bass, Lee Smith – (11)
Football Team at Eagles ($49700) (329.17%): Captain Jalen Hurts, Terry McLaurin, Alex Smith, Logan Thomas, Dustin Hopkins, Boston Scott – (180)
Buccaneers at Football Team ($48400) (235.64%): Captain Taylor Heinicke, Tom Brady, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Leonard Fournette, Cam Sims – (1)
2021:
Cowboys at Buccaneers ($49300) (258.69%): Captain Rob Gronkowski, Dak Prescott, Chris Godwin, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Antonio Brown – (39)
Bears at Rams ($46600) ($46600) (263.26%): Captain Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, David Montgomery, Darrell Henderson Jr., Matt Gay, Van Jefferson Jr. – (4)
Ravens at Raiders ($48400) (259.6%): Captain Darren Waller, Derek Carr, Marquise Brown, Ty’Son Williams, Sammy Watkins, Hunter Renfrow – (14)
Giants at Football Team ($47900) (249.77%): Captain Terry McLaurin, Daniel Jones, Taylor Heinicke, Sterling Shepard, Graham Gano – (13)
Chiefs at Ravens ($49600) (228.63%): Captain Byron Pringle, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Travis Kelce, Marquise Brown, Demarcus Robinson – (6)
Lions at Packers ($50000) (230.14%): Captain Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, Robert Tonyan, Quintez Cephus, Trinity Benson – (231)
Panthers at Texans ($50000) (216.97%): Captain Sam Darnold, DJ Moore, Brandin Cooks, Davis Mills, Chuba Hubbard, Anthony Miller – (29)
Eagles at Cowboys ($48000) (245.88%): Captain Ezekiel Elliott, Dak Prescott, Jalen Hurts, Jalen Reagor, Dalton Schultz, Zach Ertz – (6)
Buccaneers at Patriots ($48900) (192.51%): Captain Mac Jones, Mike Evans, Jakobi Meyers, Leonard Fournette, Hunter Henry, Ryan Succop – (5)
Raiders at Chargers ($47800) (242.63%): Captain Austin Ekeler, Justin Herbert, Derek Carr, Hunter Renfrow, Jared Cook, Donald Parham Jr. – (4)
Rams at Seahawks ($48800) (234.19%): Captain Robert Woods, Matthew Stafford, DK Metcalf, Darrell Henderson Jr., Tyler Higbee, Sony Michel – (13)
Buccaneers at Eagles ($48700) (330.02%): Captain Leonard Fournette, Tom Brady, Jalen Hurts, Antonio Brown, Zach Ertz, O.J. Howard – (306)
Seahawks at Steelers ($49800) (253.93%): Captain Alex Collins, Najee Harris, Ben Roethlisberger, Diontae Johnson, Chris Boswell, Pat Freiermuth – (45)
Bills at Titans ($48500) (262.7%): Captain Derrick Henry, Josh Allen, Cole Beasley, Tyler Bass, Tommy Sweeney – (6)
Broncos at Browns ($49900) (288.36%): Captain D’Ernest Johnson, Teddy Bridgewater, Case Keenum, Noah Fant, Melvin Gordon III, Javonte Williams – (153)
Colts at 49ers ($45600) (264.01%): Captain Michael Pittman Jr., Carson Wentz, Deebo Samuel, Eli Mitchell, Mo Allie-Cox, Colts – (49)
Packers at Cardinals ($49500) (272.32%): Captain Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers, James Conner, Chase Edmonds, Zach Ertz, Randall Cobb – (49)
Cowboys at Vikings ($49500) (230.69%): Captain Amari Cooper, Kirk Cousins, CeeDee Lamb, Adam Thielen, Cooper Rush, Cedrick Wilson – (5)
Giants at Chiefs ($49900) (212.57%): Captain Tyreek Hill, Daniel Jones, Darrel Williams, Devontae Booker, Mecole Hardman, John Ross III – (11)
Jets at Colts ($50000) (187.18%): Captain Jonathan Taylor, Carson Wentz, Elijah Moore, Josh Johnson, Nyheim Hines, Tyler Kroft – (1)
Titans at Rams ($48800) (200.46%): Captain Cooper Kupp, Matthew Stafford, Robert Woods, Geoff Swaim, Sony Michel, Titans – (1)
Bears at Steelers ($49300) (236.12%): Captain Pat Freiermuth, Najee Harris, Justin Fields, Darnell Mooney, Cole Kmet, Chris Boswell – (24)
Ravens at Dolphins ($46700) (226.65%): Captain Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, Jaylen Waddle, Rashod Bateman, Dolphins, Albert Wilson – (1)
Chiefs at Raiders ($50000) (205.61%): Captain Darrel Williams, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Hunter Renfrow, Bryan Edwards, Byron Pringle – (13)
Rams at 49ers ($49700) (219.04%): Captain Deebo Samuel, Cooper Kupp, Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle, Robbie Gould, 49ers – (29)
Patriots at Falcons ($39600) (190.57%): Captain Patriots DST, Mac Jones, Rhamondre Stevenson, Olamide Zaccheaus, Nelson Agholor, Nick Folk – (4)
Steelers at Chargers ($49600) (247.76%): Captain Austin Ekeler, Justin Herbert, Diontae Johnson, Mike Williams, Chris Boswell, Donald Parham Jr. – (53)
Giants at Buccaneers ($49800) (246.29%): Captain Tom Brady, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Saquon Barkley, Ryan Succop, Ronald Jones II – (36)
2022:
Bills at Rams ($49300): Captain Bills, Cooper Kupp, Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Isaiah McKenzie
Buccaneers at Cowboys ($43500) (156.6%): Captain Leonard Fournette, Mike Evans, Dalton Schultz, Julio Jones, Buccaneers, Ryan Succop – (1)
Denver at Seattle ($47900) (194.3%): Captain Jerry Jeudy, Russell Wilson, Javonte Williams, Brandon McManus, Will Dissly – (4)
Chargers at Chiefs ($48500) (164.2%): Captain Mike Williams, Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Gerald Everett, Justin Watson – (1)
Bears at Packers ($49500): Captain Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers, David Montgomery, Sammy Watkins, Mason Crosby, Ryan Griffin
Vikings at Eagles ($49000): Captain Jalen Hurts, Justin Jefferson, Dallas Goedert, DeVonta Smith, Irv Smith, Quez Watkins
Steelers at Browns: ($49700) (173.0%): Captain Amari Cooper, Diontae Johnson, Jacoby Brissett, Mitch Trubisky, David Njoku, Browns – (34)
49ers at Broncos: ($49100) (178.8%): Captain Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, Cortland Sutton, Jeff Wilson Jr., Melvin Gordon III, Broncos – (3)
Cowboys at Giants: ($50000): Captain Graham Gano, Saquon Barkley, CeeDee Lamb, Daniel Jones, Ezekiel Elliott, Brett Maher
Dolphins at Bengals ($49800) (194.8%): Captain Tyreek Hill, Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, Tee Higgins, Hayden Hurst, Trent Sherfield – (47)
Chiefs at Buccaneers ($48100) (169.3%): Captain Mike Evans, Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Matthew Wright, Rachaad White – (3)
Rams at 49ers ($49800): Captain Cooper Kupp, Deebo Samuel, Jeff Wilson Jr., Tyler Higbee, 49ers, Matt Gay
Colts at Broncos ($32900) (142.1%): Captain Alec Pierce, Courtland Sutton, Broncos, Brandon McManus, Chase McLaughlin, Colts – (1)
Bengals at Ravens ($48900) (263.1%): Captain Hayden Hurst, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Mark Andrews, Devin Duvernay, Justin Tucker – (12)
Raiders at Chiefs ($50000): Captain Travis Kelce, Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mecole Hardman, Daniel Carlson
2023:
Lions at Chiefs ($47500) (224.4%): Captain Patrick Mahomes, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jared Goff, David Montgomery, Josh Reynolds, Blake Bell – (12)
Cowboys at Giants ($44200) (193.2%): Captain Cowboys, Tony Pollard, Saquon Barkley, CeeDee Lamb, Brandon Aubrey, KaVontae Turpin – (1)
Bills at Jets ($47300) (156.3%): Captain Stefon Diggs, Josh Allen, Breece Hall, Tyler Bass, Greg Zuerlein, Jets – (1)
Vikings at Eagles ($49800) (236.3%): Captain D’Andre Swift, Justin Jefferson, Kirk Cousins, DeVonta Smith, T.J. Hockenson, Jordan Addison – (340)
Dolphins at Patriots ($49600) (218.0%): Captain Raheem Mostert, Tyreek Hill, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones, Hunter Henry, Salvon Ahmed – (24)
Browns at Steelers ($48400) (210.4%): Captain George Pickens, Nick Chubb, Deshaun Watson, Amari Cooper, Steelers, Jerome Ford – (1)
Rams at Bengals ($49900) (208.3%): Captain Ja’Marr Chase, Matthew Stafford, Joe Mixon, Tutu Atwell, Evan McPherson, Bengals – (24)
Giants at 49ers ($49600) (231.3%): Captain Deebo Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, Brock Purdy, Matt Breida, George Kittle, Ronnie Bell – (125)
Steelers at Raiders ($49600) (170.2%): Captain Davante Adams, Jimmy Garoppolo, Jakobi Meyers, Steelers, Calvin Austin III, Chris Boswell – (10)
Chiefs at Jets ($48200) (190.1%): Captain Isiah Pacheco, Patrick Mahomes, Garrett Wilson, Zach Wilson, Allen Lazard, Noah Gray – (7)
Lions at Packers ($50000) (210.4%): Captain David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jordan Love, Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Lions – (74)
Seahawks at Giants ($48800) (308.1%): Captain Seahawks, Kenneth Walker III, Geno Smith, Daniel Jones, DK Metcalf, Wan’Dale Robinson – (31)
Packers at Raiders ($46700) (219.9%): Captain Jakobi Meyers, Josh Jacobs, Jimmy Garoppolo, Christian Watson, AJ Dillon, Raiders – (15)
Cowboys at 49ers ($46800) (205.5%): Captain George Kittle, Christian McCaffrey, Tony Pollard, Brock Purdy, 49ers, Jordan Mason – (2)
Bears at Commanders ($49400) (226.3%): Captain DJ Moore, Justin Fields, Sam Howell, Curtis Samuel, Logan Thomas, Antonio Gibson – (64)
Giants at Bills ($47500) (182.1%): Captain Stefon Diggs, Josh Allen, Saquon Barkley, Wan’Dale Robinson, Deonte Harty, Quintin Morris – (2)
Broncos at Chiefs ($49900) (213.3%): Captain Courtland Sutton, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Chiefs, Harrison Butker, Kadarius Toney – (18)
Cowboys at Chargers ($49600) (173.8%): Captain Dak Prescott, Keenan Allen, CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks, Brandon Aubrey, Gerald Everett – (3)
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When we review winning lineups, we can think backward and determine what game-script ideas and correlations went into constructing each roster. In the Week 1 2020 MNF matchup between the Titans and Broncos, pricing was incredibly soft and it was easy to lock in top projected player Derrick Henry into the captain spot without making additional sacrifices to the rest of our lineup. The field followed suit, owning Henry in the captain spot at a 31.4% rate. At elevated ownership, it made sense to look for paths where Henry could be outscored by another option; one such path was to assume the Titans had success through the air. Corey Davis at captain immediately provided leverage off of Henry and fellow WR A.J. Brown, who was also highly owned. The winning lineup paired Davis with QB Ryan Tannehill and included Henry in the flex, locking up a majority of the team’s offensive production. Davis’ cheap $9,000 captain salary and lack of high-priced options from the Broncos side kept the lineup’s total salary ($47,000) well below the cap without sacrificing too many projected points and ensured it wouldn’t be duplicated despite high cumulative ownership (268.48%). These are the types of decisions we have to think through during showdown lineup construction in an effort to maximize correlation and uniqueness.
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TEAM-SPECIFIC ANALYSIS & NOTABLE PRICE CONSIDERATIONS
Their playoff hopes and Super Bowl aspirations suffering an untimely end as Joe Burrow underwent surgery on his right wrist, the Cincinnati Bengals will travel to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars as prohibitive 10-point road underdogs in a game featuring a paltry 40-point total. At 8-3, the Jags will look to keep the distance between themselves and AFC South contenders after both Indianapolis and Houston left their Week 13 games victorious. While we have just a six-quarter sample to lean on, we’ve seen Bengals HC Zac Taylor maintain his pass-happy ways with Burrow sidelined, still ranking first in situation-neutral pass rate (69%) on 65 offensive snaps in Weeks 11-12, posting individual Pass Rates Over Expectation of 1% and 18%, respectively. On the season, Cincy ranks first in PROE (+8.8%) and situation-neutral pass rate (66%), something we should expect to regress closer to league average without one of the league’s best QBs but not something we should expect Taylor to entirely abandon. Especially as a 10-point road dog against a Jaguars defense that is around league average in both Pass EPA per Play Allowed (-0.033) and Rush EPA per Play Allowed (-0.104), I’m anticipating plenty of dropbacks, inefficient as they may be. Just our second Jaguars primetime showdown slate of the season, it’s been a while since we’ve dissected OC Press Taylor’s offense. Their 27th-ranked situation-neutral pass rate (52%) doesn’t tell the whole story, as Taylor’s unit still ranks sixth on the season in PROE (+2.5%) and has posted a negative Pass Rate Over Expectation in a game just four times all season, including just once in their last seven games, generally displaying a balanced run-pass ratio. As a 10-point home favorite against a Cincinnati defense that has been equally bad against the run and pass, we should anticipate another fairly balanced game plan here, for as long as the scoreboard necessitates it.Â
There are a few question marks surrounding Ja’Marr Chase’s ($9,400) outlook, mainly revolving around whether or not he can overcome the QB downgrade to still provide Monday night value and if the return of Tee Higgins ($7,600) for the first time since Week 9 makes an already ugly situation worse? As for Chase’s usage profile, the underlying data is still strong; he leads the team in target share (28.6%), Air Yards share (38.3%), RZ target share (31.4%), and EZ targets (9) on a PPR-friendly 8.7-yard aDOT that should result in a high catch rate even with fewer catchable targets being sent his way now. In the six games with Higgins active this season, Chase still led the duo in target share (26.6% to 19.6%), first-read target share (35.3% to 22.9%), and designed target share (24.6% to 4.8%), giving me more confidence in him being able to pay off his $9.4K tag than I have in Higgins being able to pay off his. It doesn’t hurt that PFF credits Jacksonville with the league’s fourth-highest Zone Coverage rate (83.7%), where Chase has been Cincy’s best receiver, managing 2.28 YPRR. I think Chase is a fringe cash-game consideration but may be better deployed as a CPT in small- and large-field tournaments given the way roster construction ultimately shakes out. Higgins’ return almost entirely removes Trenton Irwin ($1,800) from consideration outside of touchdown-or-bust dart throws, as he ran a route on just 20.9% of dropbacks in six games where Higgins was healthy this season, and it makes it even more difficult to get to Tyler Boyd ($5,600), who feels fully priced still. In six games alongside Higgins, Boyd managed a 14.5% target share and an 18.9% Air Yards share. If coupled with a meaningful ownership discount, I’ll consider some GPP shots on Boyd, whose low 6.6-yard aDOT can lead to plenty of garbage-time production on PPR-friendly sites like DraftKings. Though Tanner Hudson ($4,000) hasn’t completely taken over the Bengals’ TE1 role, he has forced his way into a full-blown three-headed committee between him, Irv Smith Jr. ($1,000), and Drew Sample ($1,200), where he looks like the clear best pass-catching threat amongst the trio. Since becoming a weekly part of the offense in Week 9, Hudson has managed a 15.3% target share and 10.9% Air Yards share, displaying an impressive ability to earn targets with a 33% TPRR rate on just 36% of the team’s routes. While it may be wishcasting, there is a ceiling here if Hudson does start running more routes. Both Sample and Smith were priced cheap enough that we can’t entirely ignore them as touchdown-or-bust dart throws in large-field GPPs, though Mitchell Wilcox ($800) will be active, turning this into a real murky situation. Priced cheaply enough on DraftKings, Joe Mixon ($7,000) looks like one of the more attractive Bengals options Monday night. He’s maintained a bellcow role, handling 81% of the team’s rushing attempts on the season, including 90% of the RZ rushing attempts and 100% of the attempts inside the 5-yard line. He’s also been an involved receiver, running a route on 56% of dropbacks, adding a 10% target share. While he will lose some work in long-down-and-distance and 2-minute situations to Trayveon Williams ($400), this is a role that should result in plenty of work, even as a 10-point road dog. A fairly neutral rushing matchup for Mixon, it certainly doesn’t hurt that Jacksonville is allowing the league’s fourth-highest target share (20.1%) to opposing RBs. Though I generally defer to the QB position in cash-game contests and Jake Browning’s ($8,800) price is fair, I don’t think he is a cash-game must Monday night. Still, under center for a team that does profile to drop back early and often, I have FLEX interest in both small- and large-field GPPs, where I do expect the field’s aversion to backup QBs is going to result in a significant ownership discount.
Seemingly incapable of posting usable DFS performances in the same game, it feels crucial to get Calvin Ridley ($9,200) and Christian Kirk ($8,200) ‘right’ Monday night. Though Kirk holds a slight lead in to-date fantasy production, it’s Ridley who has the slightly better usage profile, taking a backseat in target share (20.6% to 22.8%) but leading in Air Yards share (35.6% to 31.1%), RZ target share (35.5% to 16.1%), and EZ targets (12 to 4), while Kirk’s slightly lower aDOT (10.0 to 12.7) has resulted in a higher catch rate. However, now we have Kirk $1,000 cheaper in a matchup against a Bengals secondary that uses Man Coverage at the league’s 10th-highest rate (28.2%), according to PFF, where Kirk has feasted, averaging 3.32 YPRR against man this season. PFF also notes that Cincy’s secondary has allowed an explosive play on 17.5% of man coverage snaps, ranking in the bottom 10 of the league. I’ll side with Kirk for the better draw against man coverage and the $1,000 savings, but don’t be fooled: This is a great spot for both receivers. Zay Jones ($5,200) has played five games this season, managing a 13.3% target share and 20.0% Air Yards share on an 11.7-yard aDOT. I view him as a small- and large-field tournament flier if ownership is low enough, but otherwise, the price is full and the role isn’t overly inspiring. Evan Engram ($6,200) may be the best price-adjusted pass catcher of the group, ranking second on the team in target share (22.2%) and third in Air Yards share (13.8%) operating as the team’s safety blanket with a 78.0% catch rate on a 4.5-yard aDOT. It helps that Cincinnati has yielded fruitful fantasy results for opposing TEs this season, allowing the league’s third-most DraftKings points per game to the position (15.4) through 11 games. Battling through a rib injury, Travis Etienne Jr. ($10,200) is expected to play after logging limited practices to end the week. He’s owned a bellcow role throughout the season, handling 66% of the team’s rushing attempts, including 53.3% of the RZ attempts while also running a route on 61% of dropbacks, adding a 12% target share. In a true three-down and goal-line role, Etienne has played on 72% of short-down-and-distance, 69% of long-down-and-distance, and 89% of 2-minute snaps, according to Fantasy Life’s Utilization Report. Now at home as a double-digit favorite, he should have an opportunity to feast against a Bengals run defense that is allowing the league’s third-highest Explosive Rush rate (6.8%), most Yards Before Contact per Attempt (1.9), and fifth-lowest Stuff Rate (41.1%). For those concerned about the health of Etienne’s ribs or think this game gets sideways in a hurry, D’Ernest Johnson ($4,200) could be the primary beneficiary in either circumstance. More involved over the last three games, Johnson has handled 22% of the team’s rushing attempts since Week 9, running a route on 28% of dropbacks, adding a 5% target share. Given the possible outs to a viable fantasy performance, I don’t mind using Johnson in GPPs if ownership is right. Trevor Lawrence ($10,800) profiles as one of the few cash-game must-haves Monday night and should be a centerpiece of most profitable GPP roster constructions, particularly at the FLEX position. Lawrence isn’t known for his legs, but he’s using them enough to raise his weekly floor-ceiling combo, handling 15.9% of the team’s rushing attempts including a 22.2% share in the red zone. While I do prefer loading up on his pass catchers at CPT if forced to choose, I don’t mind CPT Lawrence double stacks in tournaments as a means to try and soak up the entirety of the Jaguars’ aerial attack.
TOP PLAYS
Given the importance of maximizing raw points, correlation, and uniqueness, we’ve grouped our top plays into three categories: top overall plays, top value plays, and top leverage plays. Our top leverage plays are ones where we identify a player that has a higher chance to be a necessary piece of a winning lineup than ownership projections would indicate.
Player | Category | Notes |
Trevor Lawrence | Overall | The no-brainer top overall option, Lawrence is under center at home for an offense that is a 10-point favorite with a 25-point team total. He should be able to slice through this below-average Cincy secondary for as long as the scoreboard requires. |
Travis Etienne Jr. | Overall | Likely benefiting from a positive game script, ETN should have plenty of opportunities to shake loose against one of the league’s worst run defenses. |
Ja’Marr Chase | Overall | Whether it’s Burrow or Browning under center, it doesn’t change the fact that Chase is still an alpha WR1, and I expect him to be deployed as such with the coaching staff scheming him opportunities to help get their QB in a rhythm. This can still be a fruitful fantasy role even with below-average QB play in what is a good primetime matchup for Chase. |
Christian Kirk | Overall | Kirk is $1,000 cheaper than Ridley and has been a more consistent fantasy producer through 11 games. He gets a slight nod here as the better receiver against man coverage, which Cincy uses at a top-10 rate. |
Jaguars D/ST | Value | Skill-position value is nearly impossible to come by Monday night, making the Jags’ defense incredibly valuable at just $4,800. They aren’t world-beaters, but they are 10-point home favorites against an inexperienced QB who’s behind an OL that ranks 30th in ESPN’s Pass-Block Win Rate. |
Evan Engram | Value | In the mid-tier, Engram is one of the slate’s better values. He has a strong role in the Jaguars’ offense and gets a matchup against a Cincy defense that is allowing the league’s third-most DraftKings points per game to his position. |
Joe Mixon | Value | Running backs that are 10-point road dogs aren’t typically a spot to target, but I’m willing to bet on volume and price here to some degree. Mixon should still touch the ball plenty regardless of script. |
CPT Calvin Ridley | Leverage | Ridley’s $9,200 tag is going to keep his ownership in check as the field is more likely to gravitate toward both Kirk and Engram at cheaper prices. We know a slate-breaking ceiling still exists. |
Jake Browning | Leverage | Let’s be honest — the projection here doesn’t really matter. Once the field finds themselves in this range, they’re way more likely to click on Chase, Ridley, or Kirk, leaving the Bengals’ starter unowned. |
D’Ernest Johnson | Leverage | It’s difficult to get a big projection on Johnson, so I think his ownership won’t get out of hand, but there are a few paths to him providing a slate-winning score at $4,200. |
Irv Smith Jr. | Dart Throw | A byproduct of the slate’s tough pricing, Smith is a fine GPP dart throw at just $1,000. He has still run a route on 37% of dropbacks since Week 9 and could be a beneficiary of negative game script. |
STACK IDEAS
* CPT Christian Kirk, Trevor Lawrence, Joe Mixon – There’s no need to reinvent the wheel here, as I think the CPT Kirk and Lawrence start is one of the slate’s highest-ceiling combinations, one that’s made better if this game plays a little closer than oddsmakers are expecting it to, allowing Mixon to rack up touches in neutral script. Kirk benefits from a man-heavy Cincy scheme that should give him opportunities to bank explosive plays.
* CPT Travis Etienne Jr., Jaguars D/ST, Tanner Hudson – Another traditional game-script-focused build, if Jacksonville does go out and cover the double-digit spread, we should expect plenty of volume for the RB1 while the defense has a chance to pin its ears back and get after an inexperienced QB behind a below-average OL.
* CPT Ja’Marr Chase, Jake Browning, Evan Engram – We’ve seen sub-30% total ownership on underdog QBs this season five separate times already, and I’m expecting it to happen again Monday night. Browning doesn’t even need to be Burrow for this duo to pay off their respective tags en route to a slate-winning performance.
* CPT Calvin Ridley, Trevor Lawrence, Tee Higgins – Ridley is going to get a little lost in the sauce given the $9.2K tag and narrative — or reality — that Kirk is a better scheme-based play against the Bengals’ secondary. Regardless, we know he has 25-point upside. One way for him to increase his chances of getting there is in a back-and-forth affair where explosive plays from Higgins on the other side force Jacksonville into more dropbacks.
ROSTER CONSTRUCTION UTILIZATION PROJECTIONS
Understanding how our opponents will construct lineups offers opportunities for leverage in large-field tournaments. These projections use a combination of historical results and slate-specific pricing, ownership, and fantasy-point projections to calculate how often each lineup build will be used. Please note: The number of favorites is listed first; the number of underdogs is listed second. For example, 1-5 refers to one favorite – five underdogs.Â
Roster Construction | Utilization |
1 JAX – 5 CIN | 1.1% |
2 JAX – 4 CIN | 10.9% |
3 JAX – 3 CIN | 25.6% |
4 JAX – 2 CIN | 40.3% |
5 JAX – 1 CIN | 22.1% |
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PROJECTIONS/OWNERSHIP
DK CHI-MIN Showdown Fantasy and Ownership Projections
Name Team Position Salary Projection Ceiling Total Own CPT Salary CPT Projection CPT Own
Justin Jefferson MIN WR 12000 18.8 0.0 50.6 18000 28.3 15.4 -13.6
Sam Darnold MIN QB 10600 19.0 0.0 63.2 15900 28.5 11.2 -11.4
Aaron Jones Sr. MIN RB 10000 16.1 0.0 48.7 15000 24.2 10.1 -11.9
Caleb Williams CHI QB 9600 18.7 0.0 48.2 14400 28.0 6.4 -10.1
Jordan Addison MIN WR 8400 14.2 0.0 38.8 12600 21.3 7.6 -10.5
DJ Moore CHI WR 8000 17.1 0.0 49.3 12000 25.7 13.0 -8.4
D'Andre Swift CHI RB 7600 13.5 0.0 36.5 11400 20.2 5.0 -9.7
Keenan Allen CHI WR 7000 16.0 0.0 42.3 10500 24.0 7.5 -7.5
Rome Odunze CHI WR 6400 11.7 0.0 33.1 9600 17.5 5.0 -8.8
Tyson Bagent CHI QB 6000 0.0 0.0 0.0 9000 0.0 0.0 -14.0
Daniel Jones MIN QB 6000 0.0 0.0 0.0 9000 0.0 0.0 -14.0
Brett Rypien MIN QB 6000 0.0 0.0 0.0 9000 0.0 0.0 -14.0
Austin Reed CHI QB 6000 0.0 0.0 0.0 9000 0.0 0.0 -14.0
Nick Mullens MIN QB 6000 0.0 0.0 0.0 9000 0.0 0.0 -14.0
J.J. McCarthy MIN QB 6000 0.0 0.0 0.0 9000 0.0 0.0 -14.0
T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 5800 12.1 0.0 43.4 8700 18.1 8.5 -7.7
Vikings MIN DST 5400 0.0 0.0 22.3 8100 0.0 3.6 -13.1
Will Reichard MIN K 5000 0.0 0.0 23.4 7500 0.0 1.1 -12.5
Cairo Santos CHI K 4800 0.0 0.0 17.2 7200 0.0 0.9 -12.2
Cole Kmet CHI TE 4400 6.1 0.0 14.8 6600 9.2 0.9 -8.5
Roschon Johnson CHI RB 4000 0.0 0.0 0.0 6000 0.0 0.0 -11.0
Bears CHI DST 3400 0.0 0.0 14.2 5100 0.0 0.9 -10.1
Jalen Nailor MIN WR 3200 3.4 0.0 9.1 4800 5.1 0.6 -8.1
Cam Akers MIN RB 3000 5.4 0.0 21.2 4500 8.1 1.0 -6.8
Josh Oliver MIN TE 2800 2.8 0.0 8.2 4200 4.2 0.5 -7.8
Johnny Mundt MIN TE 2400 0.6 0.0 0.8 3600 0.9 0.0 -8.3
Travis Homer CHI RB 2000 2.7 0.0 8.1 3000 4.1 0.4 -6.6
Darrynton Evans CHI RB 1400 0.2 0.0 0.8 2100 0.4 0.0 -7.0
Brandon Powell MIN WR 1200 0.4 0.0 1.9 1800 0.6 0.1 -6.6
Trent Sherfield Sr. MIN WR 1000 0.4 0.0 0.8 1500 0.7 0.0 -6.3
DeAndre Carter CHI WR 800 0.0 0.0 0.5 1200 0.0 0.0 -6.2
Gerald Everett CHI TE 600 0.1 0.0 0.5 900 0.2 0.0 -5.8
C.J. Ham MIN RB 400 0.3 0.0 0.7 600 0.5 0.0 -5.4
Samori Toure CHI WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Lucky Jackson MIN WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Ty Chandler MIN RB 200 0.3 0.0 0.9 300 0.5 0.0 -5.1
Sammis Reyes MIN TE 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Nick Muse MIN TE 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Andrew DePaola MIN TE 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Thayer Thomas MIN WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Stephen Carlson CHI TE 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Tyler Scott CHI WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Patrick Scales CHI TE 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Royce Freeman CHI RB 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Jeshaun Jones MIN WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Joel Wilson CHI TE 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Nsimba Webster CHI WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Zavier Scott MIN RB 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Ian Wheeler CHI RB 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Marcedes Lewis CHI TE 200 0.1 0.0 0.0 300 0.2 0.0 -5.2
Collin Johnson CHI WR 200 0.1 0.0 0.0 300 0.2 0.0 -5.2
John Jackson III CHI WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Freddie Swain CHI WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
Trishton Jackson MIN WR 200 0.0 0.0 0.0 300 0.0 0.0 -5.3
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FD Single Game Projections
Name Team Position Salary Projection MVP Projection Ceiling FLEX Value
Bo Nix DEN QB 15500 16.6 0.0 24.8 0.0 0.0 -10.0
Justin Herbert LAC QB 15000 18.3 0.0 27.4 0.0 0.0 -8.4
Courtland Sutton DEN WR 14000 12.2 0.0 18.2 0.0 0.0 -9.9
Ladd McConkey LAC WR 13500 13.5 0.0 20.3 0.0 0.0 -8.5
Gus Edwards LAC RB 12500 7.8 0.0 11.7 0.0 0.0 -9.8
Quentin Johnston LAC WR 11500 8.7 0.0 13.1 0.0 0.0 -7.9
Javonte Williams DEN RB 11000 10.4 0.0 15.6 0.0 0.0 -6.3
Joshua Palmer LAC WR 10000 6.9 0.0 10.4 0.0 0.0 -6.5
Devaughn Vele DEN WR 9500 5.9 0.0 8.8 0.0 0.0 -6.3
Los Angeles Chargers LAC D 9000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8.5
Denver Broncos DEN D 9000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8.5
Cameron Dicker LAC K 8500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7.8
Wil Lutz DEN K 8500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7.8
Audric Estime DEN RB 8000 5.3 0.0 7.9 0.0 0.0 -4.4
Jaleel McLaughlin DEN RB 8000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7.0
Will Dissly LAC TE 7500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6.3
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN WR 7500 6.1 0.0 9.2 0.0 0.0 -3.2
Stone Smartt LAC TE 7500 6.8 0.0 10.2 0.0 0.0 -2.8
Troy Franklin DEN WR 7000 4.8 0.0 7.2 0.0 0.0 -3.1
Kimani Vidal LAC RB 7000 7.6 0.0 11.4 0.0 0.0 -1.7
Nate Adkins DEN TE 6500 1.1 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 -4.2
Adam Trautman DEN TE 6500 1.8 0.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 -3.8
DJ Chark LAC WR 6000 1.9 0.0 2.8 0.0 0.0 -3.1
Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN WR 6000 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 -3.0
Derius Davis LAC WR 5500 1.9 0.0 2.8 0.0 0.0 -2.3
Jalen Reagor LAC WR 5500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3.3
Lucas Krull DEN TE 5500 2.4 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0 -2.0
Michael Burton DEN RB 5500 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 -2.9
Hassan Haskins LAC RB 5500 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 -3.1
Thomas Yassmin DEN TE 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Simi Fehoko LAC WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Easton Stick LAC QB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Jarrett Stidham DEN QB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Hayden Hurst LAC TE 5000 2.1 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.0 -1.5
Tyler Badie DEN RB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Zach Wilson DEN QB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Michael Bandy DEN WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Dez Fitzpatrick LAC WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Jaylen Johnson LAC WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Laviska Shenault Jr. LAC WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
McCallan Castles LAC TE 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Blake Watson DEN RB 5000 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 -2.2
Eric Tomlinson LAC TE 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
A.T. Perry DEN WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Mitchell Fraboni DEN TE 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Taylor Heinicke LAC QB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Donald Parham Jr. DEN TE 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
J.K. Dobbins LAC RB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Brenden Rice LAC WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
David Sills V DEN WR 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Tucker Fisk LAC TE 5000 1.4 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 -1.8
John Kelly Jr. LAC RB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
Jaret Patterson LAC RB 5000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.5
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Monday Night Projections Detail
Player Position Team Opponent Completions Attempts Pass Yards Pass TDs Pass INTs Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Receiving Yards Receiving TDs