Last Updated: December 1st at 10:00am ET
Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This page will be updated once on Sunday morning, if necessary.
You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.
The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.
With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.
Patrick Mahomes ($7400 DK, $8600 FD) — Andy Reid comes off a bye to face a Raiders team Mahomes has shredded. Relatively cheaper on Fanduel.
Lamar Jackson ($7000 DK, $8700 FD) — Matchup vs. the 49ers is theoretically difficult, but they’ve lost four key pieces on defense and have struggled against edge rushing. Relatively cheaper on DraftKings.
Nick Foles ($5700 DK, $7500 FD) — Bucs remain the league’s biggest pass funnel and have faced the most pass attemps in the NFL.
Andy Dalton ($4700 DK, $6000 FD) — Was on pace for 4,504 pass yards through eight weeks. Prices came out before it was announced he’d regain starting job.
Christian McCaffrey ($10500 DK, $11000 FD) — Absurd floor, particularly on full-PPR DraftKings. Catches one of the best on-paper matchups he’ll see all season.
Leonard Fournette ($7500 DK, $7600 FD) — Matchup in run game is brutally difficult, but Uncle Len’s elite pass-game role keeps him in play.
Saquon Barkley ($7400 DK, $7600 FD) — Says he’s healthy even though brutal efficiency suggests otherwise. Injuries to Evan Engram and Golden Tate raise his target projection.
Le’Veon Bell ($7200 DK, $7300 FD) — First-half RB touches last week were Le’Veon Bell 12, Bilal Powell 5, Ty Montgomery 1. Now comes a pristine matchup against the Bengals.
* Miles Sanders ($5400 DK, $5800 FD) — If Jordan Howard (doubtful, shoulder) remains out, Sanders projects for 80+ percent of the snaps again. This time it comes in an elite matchup against a Dolphins defense ranked 31st in yards per play allowed.
Jonathan Williams ($5300 DK, $6800 FD) — Marlon Mack is out again. Last week, Williams ran 17 routes on 29 Jacoby Brissett dropbacks and handled 74% of the RB carries. PFF’s No. 4 RB among 28 qualifiers over last two weeks. Biggest risk is an increased role for Jordan Wilkins this week.
Tyreek Hill ($8300 FD) — Brutally expensive on DraftKings, but firmly in play on Fanduel. Raiders have allowed most completions of 20+ yards.
Davante Adams ($7000 DK, $8000 FD) — Arguably highest target projection on slate, two months removed from toe injury, and will run plenty of routes at PFF’s worst-graded CB DeAndre Baker.
DJ Chark ($6900 FD) — Thin on DraftKings as he’s close in price to DJ Moore, Mike Evans and Davante Adams. But price is right on Fanduel in the best possible matchup for a wide receiver.
Tyler Boyd ($5500 DK, $6000 FD) — Andy Dalton returns and AJ Green remains out. It leaves the arrow up on Boyd, who saw 82 targets in Dalton’s eight starts to open the season. He’s caught 90 balls in Dalton’s last 16 games.
Sterling Shepard ($4900 DK, $5900 FD) — With Golden Tate and Evan Engram out, Shepard gets to play his natural slot role. Even if the aforementioned duo was active, Shepard would’ve been a reasonable play in this game environment.
Chris Conley ($4500 DK) — Fifth in entire NFL in Air Yards over last two weeks. Gets ideal matchup against the Bucs. It’s a bit thin for cash, but he’s cheap on DraftKings.
Travis Kelce ($7200 DK, $7100 FD) — No bargain on either site, but Raiders have struggled to contain Kelce under Jon Gruden. He’s gone 24-337-3 in last three meetings.
Greg Olsen ($5100 FD) — A Fanduel-specific punt who continues to see incredible usage. Has run more routes than any tight end in NFL since Week 7 bye.
Jack Doyle ($3300 DK) – A DraftKings-specific option who projects to be less owned than Tyler Higbee. Benefits greatly from injuries to Eric Ebron and TY Hilton
Tyler Higbee ($2500 DK) — With Gerald Everett out, Higbee projects for an every-down role against the Cardinals’ league-worst tight end defense. Stone minimum on DraftKings opens up a lot. Still a very tough sell on Fanduel as he’s priced close to Darren Waller.
Panthers ($3800 DK, $4700 FD) — Dwayne Haskins won last week, but still completed just 13 passes, took three sacks and threw another interception. And that was at home against the Lions.
Ravens ($2800 DK, $4000 FD) — This Ravens defense is quietly one of the league’s best since getting their secondary healthy. Jimmy Garoppolo has taken 10 sacks in his last three games.
Browns ($2600 DK) — Duck Hodges takes over without James Conner or Juju Smith-Schuster. Far cheaper on DraftKings.
|1||Lamar Jackson||Patrick Mahomes|
|2||Patrick Mahomes||Lamar Jackson|
|3||Andy Dalton||Andy Dalton|
|4||Carson Wentz||Carson Wentz|
|5||Nick Foles||Jameis Winston|
|1||Christian McCaffrey||Christian McCaffrey|
|2||Miles Sanders||Miles Sanders|
|3||Le’Veon Bell||Le’Veon Bell|
|4||Leonard Fournette||Leonard Fournette|
|5||Saquon Barkley||Saquon Barkley|
|6||Jonathan Williams||Todd Gurley|
|1||Davante Adams||Tyler Boyd|
|2||Sterling Shepard||DeVante Parker|
|3||Mike Evans||Tyreek Hill|
|4||Tyler Boyd||D.J. Chark|
|5||Auden Tate||DJ Moore|
|6||Dede Westbrook||Sterling Shepard|
|7||Alshon Jeffery||Auden Tate|
|1||Tyler Higbee||Travis Kelce|
|2||Jack Doyle||Greg Olsen|
|3||Travis Kelce||Darren Waller|
|4||Darren Waller||Tyler Higbee|
|5||Dallas Goedert||Dallas Goedert|