L.A. Chargers @ N.Y. Jets
Team Totals: Chargers 21.5, Jets 18.5
Chargers-Jets is Week 9’s fifth-lowest-totaled game. … Like a hot knife through butter, Justin Herbert diced the Bears to death with short passes last Sunday night, completing 78% of his 40 throws for 298 yards and three TDs. Up to fantasy’s QB3 in per-game scoring, Herbert now catches a Jets defense that just got back elite CBs Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed from concussions. Herbert is a fade-matchup, low-end QB1 starter this week. … His healthiest since Week 1’s high ankle sprain, Austin Ekeler netted 123 yards and a touchdown on 22 touches against Chicago. The Jets have been gashed by pass-catching RBs for the NFL’s fifth-most receptions (45) and sixth-most receiving yards (322). On the ground, Ekeler’s Week 9 matchup was improved by Jets run-stopping NT Al Woods’ Week 8 Achilles tear. … Averaging 6.5 carries and zero targets over the last two weeks, Josh Kelley is a Monday night-only dart throw.
Herbert’s 2023 target distribution: Keenan Allen 74; Josh Palmer 39; Gerald Everett 23; Ekeler and Quentin Johnston 21; Donald Parham 19; Derius Davis 8. … No. 8 in the NFL in target share (30%) and running 63% of his routes from the slot, Allen should avoid Gardner and Reed for the vast majority of Monday night’s game.
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