Editor’s Note: This Matchup was written by John Daigle, with input from Evan Silva.
Monday Night Football
Jacksonville @ Buffalo
Team Totals: Jaguars 20, Bills 25.5
1-7 over their last eight games with 19.1 points per contest (26th), the Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence (with one top-10 finish in that time) square off against a Bills secondary that neutralized Kyler Murray (5.2 yards per attempt) and Tua Tagovailoa (5.8) to begin the year. Similar to last season, Lawrence has crumbled under pressure with a 42.9% completion rate (25th) and 5.4 YPA (20th). But the Bills have reached enemy signal-callers at the 12th-lowest clip (31.3%) and Lawrence’s underlying metrics (including 13th in EPA/play) suggest imminent progress. He’s a fringe QB1 (behind MASSIVE protection problems) given his league-high 10 completions of 15+ yards. … Tank Bigsby was injured during a first-quarter kick-off in Week 2, allowing Travis Etienne to handle 76.1% (16) of the team’s backfield touches ahead of D’Ernest Johnson (5). Etienne’s two touchdowns (both from inside the 5) have still accounted for 45% of his fantasy production, plodding for 3.2 yards per carry and, in the season opener, merely out-touching Bigsby 14-12. Buffalo leaked 10/102/1 receiving to James Conner and De’Von Achane, elevating Etienne’s RB2 floor. Given his interchangeable touch count as Jacksonville’s 1B, Bigsby is an intriguing option for two-game slates.
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