Baltimore @ Jacksonville
Team Totals: Ravens 23.5, Jaguars 19.5
Week 14’s overall QB1 fantasy scorer against the Rams, Lamar Jackson fired off a season-high 43 pass attempts while recording his second 300-yard, three-TD performance of 2023. Jackson’s 70 yards rushing were his second most of the year. Week 15 opponent Jacksonville has surrendered the NFL’s third-most passing yards (3,628) and third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks as part of one of the league’s most pass-funnel defenses. The Jags will be without top CB Tyson Campbell (quad) and top S Andre Cisco (groin) on SNF. I went hard on Baltimore covering the -3.5. … The Ravens continue to roll out a three-man RBBC that was led by Justice Hill’s 42% playing-time clip versus L.A. Yet Hill didn’t record a single carry and was targeted just twice, and his snap share was boosted by the Ravens playing from behind and running extensive 2-minute offensive drives. Keaton Mitchell (33% snaps) out-carried Gus Edwards (28%) 9 to 6 and continues to appear deserving of more touches. Mitchell is averaging a robust 8.5 YPC on 38 rookie-year rushing attempts but has single-digit carries in five straight games. Mitchell is a playmaking RB3/flex until he’s able to earn more run. Edwards is a TD-or-bust RB3. This is a rough matchup for all Ravens RBs against a Jacksonville defense that frequently stacks the box with eight men.
Jackson’s target distribution in two games since Mark Andrews’ year-ending ankle break: Zay Flowers 18; Odell Beckham 15; Isaiah Likely 13; Rashod Bateman 9; Nelson Agholor 7; Mitchell 4; Hill 3; Gus 1.
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