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Editor’s Note: This Matchup was written by John Daigle, with input from Evan Silva.

 

Sunday Night Football

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Team Totals: Steelers 23, Bengals 26.5

Aaron Rodgers completed 19 of 34 passes for three scores in his first matchup against the Bengals. Since then, he’s gone back to his old ways with 5.4 Air Yards per attempt in the last month — for reference, only Patrick Mahomes has averaged fewer (4.4) in that span. The Bengals aren’t necessarily a juggernaut on defense — Tyler Huntley and Cam Ward produced 15 and 26 fantasy points before Michael Penix Jr. — but Rodgers’ inability to throw downfield leaves him as a volatile streamer. … Pittsburgh registered negative Pass Rates Over Expectation in its last two games before the bye. The Steelers will have success if they choose to do so again: Only Kenneth Walker III has produced more Rush Yards Over Expectation than Jaylen Warren, who also ranks first in yards before contact per carry (3.3). Cincinnati’s been road-graded by Bijan Robinson (19/100/1) and Tony Pollard (21/117/2) over the last two weeks, keeping Warren as an RB1. With a consistent share of the team’s carries (47% > 33% > 33%) since returning from injury in Week 6, Rico Dowdle can get there as an RB3 himself.

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