8:00 PM ET Game
L.A. Rams @ Detroit
Team Totals: Lions 27.5, Rams 24
Rams-Lions is Wild Card Weekend’s highest-totaled affair featuring a slew of #Revenge narratives highlighted by Matthew Stafford returning to Ford Field for the first time since being traded out of Detroit during the 2021 offseason. I took Los Angeles to cover the 3.5-point spread based on Stafford’s red-hot play and the Lions’ leaky backend. Over his last six games, Stafford is 143-of-212 passing (67.5%) for 1,705 yards (8.0 YPA) and a 15:3 TD-to-INT ratio. Detroit permitted the NFL’s second-most yards per pass attempt (7.8) and third-most fantasy QB points in 2023. … Lions DC Aaron Glenn’s unit has played pass-funnel defense all season by stopping the run but caving in to the pass. Kyren Williams remains an elite running back play in playoff DFS purely via volume, averaging 25 touches for 131.5 yards and 1.3 TDs over his last six games. In the Rams’ 1-point Week 17 victory over the Giants — before largely meaningless Week 18 — Williams played a whopping 94% of Los Angeles’ offensive snaps. He’s a bellcow.
OROY candidate Puka Nacua banked 90+ yards from scrimmage and/or a touchdown in six of the Rams’ final eight regular-season games, while only two defenses yielded more 2023 fantasy points to wide receivers than Detroit.
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