Chicago @ Minnesota
Team Totals: Vikings 25.5, Bears 23
Up to QB9 in fantasy scoring, Caleb Williams is showing signs of coming into his own under rookie HC Ben Johnson. Williams has cut way down on sacks — after taking 68 as a rookie, Caleb is on pace for just 27 this year — and upped his aggressiveness as a runner, ranking eighth among quarterbacks in rushing yards (246). The Vikings blitz at the NFL’s highest rate (42%); Williams was PFF’s second-highest-graded rookie passer since 2016 against the blitz last year and is averaging 8.2 yards per attempt with a 7:0 TD-to-INT ratio when blitzed this season. Williams’ supporting cast is as healthy as it’s been all year, while this game’s domed environment adds to Caleb’s QB1 appeal. … D’Andre Swift retook the Bears’ lead back role in Week 10’s return from his groin injury, out-touching Kyle Monangai 18 to 7 and out-snapping the rookie 42 to 26 en route to 98 yards from scrimmage. The Vikings pose a roughly average matchup for running backs, but Chicago’s offensive line has emerged as an elite run-blocking unit, and Swift can be counted on for 15+ touches.
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