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Denver @ Seattle

Team Totals: Seahawks 23.5, Broncos 17.5

I took the Broncos +6 in this one, banking on HC Sean Payton to keep rookie QB Bo Nix in high-percentage situations with quick-game passing and a voluminous rushing attack a la Payton’s old Saints offense with Teddy Bridgewater. Nix is an underrated runner, having averaged a cool 4.0 yards per carry with 38 rushing TDs in his college career. Nix is a fringe QB2/3 fantasy type. … Now well over a full year removed from 2022’s ACL/LCL/PCL tear, Javonte Williams reported to camp in tip-top shape and ran away with Denver’s feature running back job early. The Broncos’ offensive line is built for run blocking far more than pass protection, while 2023’s Seahawks yielded the NFL’s second-most fantasy points to running backs. Seattle’s run defense should be better under rookie HC Mike Macdonald, yet Williams looks positioned for roughly 20 touches in a favorable draw with only 5-foot-8, 187-pound scatback Jaleel McLaughlin posing a legit in-house threat for backfield usage.

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