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Sunday Football

3:00 PM ET Game

Tampa Bay @ Detroit

Team Totals: Lions 28, Bucs 21.5

I took this game’s over at 49.5 in a battle of teams that sport pass-funnel defenses and can be explosive in the pass game. Since Week 9’s bye, the Lions are yielding 299 passing yards per game and 8.8 yards per attempt while ranking 30th in pass-defense Success Rate (@ConnorAllenNFL). Baker Mayfield has produced 60 completions of 20+ yards, No. 5 in the league. Mayfield’s big-play numbers would be even better if not for two Mike Evans Wild Card Round long-ball drops. In five games indoors or beneath a retractable roof this season, Mayfield netted 12 all-purpose TDs versus three turnovers. Unbeknownst to at least one Tampa reporter, this game will be played in a dome. … Rachaad White’s every-down role didn’t change in last week’s upset of Philly, banking 19 touches on a 70% playing-time clip. White’s usage is as secure as any non-Christian McCaffrey back on Week 20’s slate, although Detroit yielded the NFL’s fewest regular-season fantasy points to running backs before holding Rams RBs to 70 scoreless rushing yards last week. White is a volume-based DFS tournament postseason play in this potential shootout.

Mike Evans finished the Wild Card Round with a disappointing 3/48/0 receiving line but drew seven targets and dominated Bucs Air Yards with a 43% share compared to runner-up Chris Godwin’s 21% clip.

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