Large-Field GPP Breakdown: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Hello, my fellow PGA DFS enthusiasts, and welcome to all those who have decided to subscribe now that the NFL season is finally over. I must say that I’m very interested to see how the rest of the golf season plays out on DraftKings, where we’ve already gotten off to a strong start in terms of contests. While I believe MLB will start in the next month or so, the NBA and PGA Tour really take the spotlight over the next couple of months. Let’s hope DK capitalizes on this. Even if DK does, however, we need to make sure that we capitalize on it too, which has certainly not been the case for me over the last few weeks. Maybe the PGA’s first signature event of the year will change that.

Waste Management Phoenix Open – Recap

What a thrilling finish it was at the WM Open, with of course a lot of controversy surrounding fan etiquette, specifically around the last couple of holes. I’m not here to get into that. Last week was another week defined by whether or not you played max-priced Scottie Scheffler. On the bright side for me, Scheffler was not needed in winning lineups because you absolutely needed multiple $8K+ players to win a GPP. On the flip side, I didn’t play the right $8K+ players and notched another losing week. Let’s take a look at the winning lineup on DK:

• It featured a 9/8/8/8/7/6 build, which was quite interesting, as most of the field was able to pay for two-plus $9K players if they faded Scheffler. One of the things I mentioned in my article last week was hammering the $8K range, and I often try to do that to maximize my Scheffler leverage. When asking myself how he fails, the main way would be that too many higher-priced players are having ceiling performances to make him unnecessary. That’s exactly what happened here. 
• The lineup came in at 79% cumulative ownership, just under the 60-80% threshold that I normally target. So far this year, the winning lineups have been on the chalkier side — I’ll of course be keeping track of this and adjusting if it feels like a trend. The primary reason would be that projections are getting better industry-wide. I’m willing to bet that’s an anomaly and not sticky.

I was happy to see that my Scheffler FFNQA worked out well here. When thinking about DFS slates, it’s important to digest them individually. Too many players take player bias and takes into every week. Knowing that Scottie is in the field this week, let’s see what the plan is. 

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Preview