CFB DFS Top Plays: Week 10 (Saturday Night)

Understanding optimal lineups for cash games is extremely important, even if you only play tournaments. Players in our cash pool are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and typically feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. These are the best plays on the board when considering price, context and positional scarcity. These are usually pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will typically mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options, often in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership, game stacks, or correlation. In large-field tournaments, we should be much more mindful of ownership. These are our Top Plays considering the following factors: mean projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.”

They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

QUARTERBACK

Tommy Carr (MICH – DK $5,900) – Well, we finally have a Michigan QB in Top Plays, just as some people predicted in the preseason… except it’s Tommy Carr and not Bryce Underwood. Carr has been serviceable since taking over for the benched Underwood and flashed a little running ability last week (granted, it was against Rutgers). This week, he gets another plus matchup against a terrible Michigan State team that is winless in Big 10 play. It’s not an exciting play, but it’s an ugly DFS slate with no QB projecting for more than 23 points. Spending down at QB makes sense in cash games, as you’re only giving up a few points of projection dropping down into the $5K range to spend up at RB and WR.