Cleveland @ Jacksonville
Team Totals: Browns 27.5, Jaguars 21
Week 12 sets up perfectly for Cleveland’s run-foundation offense to impose its will; the Browns visit Jacksonville as near-touchdown favorites, while enemy backs have tagged the Jags for a 141.4 total-yards average and 11 TDs in 10 games. Both Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are legitimate RB1 plays here; Chubb has parlayed 39 touches into 240 yards and a touchdown in two games since returning from his MCL tear, even as Hunt out-snapped him 74 to 58 in that span with touch counts of 22 and 14. The Browns’ odds of facing run-friendly script surged this week as the Jags opted to start fifth-team journeyman Mike Glennon rather than reinsert Gardner Minshew after ruling out CBs C.J. Henderson (groin), Sidney Jones (Achilles’), and D.J. Hayden (knee), first-team SS Daniel Thomas (arm), and top pass rusher Josh Allen (knee). The possibility both Chubb and Hunt exceed 100 yards is very real.
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