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Kansas City @ Tampa Bay

Team Totals: Bucs 23.5, Chiefs 22.5

Patrick Mahomes will do battle Sunday night with a Bucs defense that checked enemy quarterbacks Dak Prescott/Cooper Rush (QB31), Jameis Winston (QB26), and Aaron Rodgers (QB13) in Weeks 1-3 while yielding the league’s fourth-fewest yards per pass attempt (5.4) and amassing the NFL’s third-most sacks (11). Mahomes remains a mid-range QB1, but I’m betting against this game shooting out. … In last week’s largely neutral-script, three-point loss to Indianapolis, Jerick McKinnon paced Kansas City’s RB unit in snaps (52%) over Clyde Edwards-Helaire (40%), even while CEH out-touched McKinnon 12 to 7. I personally think the Chiefs need to get rookie Isiah Pacheco more involved. (And I’m stashing Pacheco everywhere.) No NFL team has permitted fewer fantasy points to running backs than Tampa Bay. I do like McKinnon as a one-game DFS-tournament play. Edwards-Helaire is a low-confidence flex option.

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