Editor’s Note: This Matchup was written by John Daigle, with input from Evan Silva.
Cowboys @ Falcons
Team Totals: Cowboys 24.5, Falcons 27.5
The Cowboys have not given a single reason to believe they warrant a slate’s highest total (52) or respect as dogs in the market (+3), trailing by two scores on the league’s fourth-most plays. Even Dak Prescott’s on-paper matchup is skeptical: Falcons HC Raheem Morris has blended zone coverages on 76.3% (third) of defensive snaps, which Prescott has averaged 6.7 yards per attempt (26th) against. Regardless of how this game plays out through three quarters, Dak can get there as a low-end QB1 in garbage time for managed leagues. I bet Under the 52-point total. … Dalvin Cook debuted with 7/22/0 from scrimmage with a long gain of 10 yards (through the air), providing further evidence that Dallas’ 1.28 yards created before contact per attempt (28th) will not allow any of their RBs to produce for fantasy. Rico Dowdle offers the highest floor as an RB3/4 if only for his season-high 13.6% target share (on a season-low 20% route rate) flashed against Detroit. With Ezekiel Elliott and FB Hunter Luepke involved, this backfield continues to shake out as an unusable four-headed committee.
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