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Dallas @ Houston

Team Totals: Texans 25.5, Cowboys 23

Returning from a hard-fought loss to the Ravens in Brazil and now visiting a desperate 0-3 Texans team at their place, this is a tough spot for the Cowboys on paper. The Texans’ defense is off to somewhat of a slow start by its usual shutdown standards but still ranks third in the NFL in sacks (11) and remains elite in terms of personnel. I’m tempering my expectations for Dak Prescott a bit but still firing him up as a low-end QB1 in a non-weather-affected affair with mild shootout possibilities based on the game’s fairly high sportsbook total. … Javonte Williams amassed Weeks 1-3 touch counts of 17, 15, and 21 on corresponding snap rates of 71%, 80%, and 76%. Seemingly stuck in mud in Dallas’ first two games, Williams exhibited an ability to rip off explosive runs against the Ravens last week. The Texans are extremely stout up front, however, having held enemy running backs to a combined 64/231/0 (3.6 YPC) rushing line. Williams is a volume-driven RB2 play here.

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