Miami @ Baltimore
Team Totals: Ravens 25, Dolphins 22
Inappropriately notorious for betting overs, I bet the under on Fins-Ravens as a battle between teams offensively injured and elite on defense. Tua Tagovailoa enters Week 17 dealing with injuries to his quad and left (throwing) thumb while expected to be without Jaylen Waddle (ankle). Baltimore is yielding an NFL-low 16.3 points per game and ranks No. 1 in sacks (54). Tua is a fringe QB1/2 play here. … The Fins seem likely to trot out a three-man RBBC at Baltimore with Raheem Mostert (ankle/knee) and De’Von Achane (toe) hobbled and Jeff Wilson available for steady off-the-bench work. HC Mike McDaniel stated after last week’s win that Mostert was in so much pain the Dolphins had to limit him in the second half against Dallas. Uncharacteristically, Achane didn’t gain more than nine yards on a single Week 16 touch. The Ravens have surrendered the league’s sixth-fewest fantasy points to running backs on the season.
Gutting out his own high ankle sprain, Tyreek Hill nevertheless banked 14 targets, 9/99/0 receiving, and an 85% playing-time clip in Week 16’s victory despite dropping a would-be 95-yard TD early in the game.
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