Monday Night Football Doubleheader
Tennessee @ Miami
Team Totals: Dolphins 29.5, Titans 16.5
Because DFS sites offer two-game, Monday-only tournaments, I’ll be treating Titans-Fins and Packers-Giants as a sort of mini-Thanksgiving slate. … Miami’s D/ST projects well against Will Levis, who’s being forced to drop back behind the NFL’s worst offensive line and has taken at least four sacks in three of his last five starts. Individually, Levis has reached 14 fantasy points in just one of six appearances. He’s my No. 4 quarterback behind Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, and Tommy DeVito on Monday-only slates. … Tyjae Spears is a MNF-only sleeper as Tennessee’s go-to back when the Titans fall behind. In wins, Spears is averaging 6.8 touches per game. In losses, 9.0. Sitting on a combined 39/178/4 (4.6 YPC) rushing line over the past two weeks, Derrick Henry needs to be teed up in all season-long leagues after being cleared from concussion protocol. But Spears is the preferred price- and script-based bet in one-day DFS. Spears’ matchup is enhanced by Miami’s loss of Jerome Baker (MCL), the Fins’ top coverage linebacker.
Levis’ 2023 target distribution: DeAndre Hopkins 48; Chig Okonkwo 28; Spears 26; Kyle Philips and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 16; Henry 15; Chris Moore 12; Josh Whyle 11. … Averaging a ho-hum 4/54/0.4 stat line over Tennessee’s last five games, Hopkins has regressed into a low-ceiling WR2/3 option as part of the Titans’ work-in-progress passing offense. The Dolphins have posed a middling matchup for enemy wideouts, while Fins top CB Xavien Howard has the size and physicality to give Hopkins fits.
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