CFB DFS Top Plays: Week 12 (Saturday Night)

Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This page will be updated as necessary.

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Understanding optimal lineups for cash games is extremely important, even if you only play tournaments. Players in our cash pool are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo, and typically feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. These are the best plays on the board when considering price, context, and positional scarcity. These are usually pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will typically mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options, often in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership, game stacks, or correlation. In large-field tournaments, we should be much more mindful of ownership. These are our Top Plays considering the following factors: mean projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.”

They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

QUARTERBACK

Bryson Barnes (UTST – DK $7,600, FD $11,400) – Oddly enough, we get Utah State on the DraftKings night slate for a second straight week, and it’s another great spot for Bryson Barnes in a matchup against UNLV with a total approaching 70. Utah State is a 6-point underdog in this one, which should help Barnes’ pass volume, and he’s consistently been used in the run game with nine or more carries in all but one game. UNLV games are a great target for fantasy purposes, as they have been very potent offensively but have struggled defensively, allowing 437.1 total yards per game (119th), 248.8 passing yards per game (103rd), 5.5 yards per carry (130th), and 31.6 points per game (104th).