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Top Plays Primer

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

 

Injuries

*Will Barton (knee) — Out
*Gary Harris (hip) — Out
*Vlatko Cancar (foot) — Out
*OG Anunoby (knee) — Out
*Oshae Brissett (knee) — Out
*Serge Ibaka (knee) — Out
*Pascal Siakam (rest) – Out
*Fred VanVleet (rest) – Out
*Kyle Lowry (rest) – Out
*Patrick McCaw (knee) — Out
*Goga Bitadze (knee) — Questionable
*Myles Turner (wrist) — Out
*Jeremy Lamb (knee) — Out
*Victor Oladipo (ankle) — Out
*Domantas Sabonis (foot) — Out
*T.J. Warren (foot) — Out
*Jae Crowder (knee) — Questionable
*Derrick Jones Jr. (knee) — Questionable
*KZ Okpala (personal) — Out
*Kendrick Nunn (illness) — Available
*Jimmy Butler (rest) — Out
*Goran Dragic (rest) — Out
*Bam Adebayo (rest) — Out
*Gabe Vincent (shoulder) — Out
*Patrick Beverley (calf) — Out
*Montrezl Harrell (personal) — Out
*Landry Shamet (foot) — Out
*Luguentz Dort (knee) — Out
*Chris Paul (hand) — Out
*Dennis Schroder (NWT) — Out
*Russell Westbrook (quad strain) — Out
*Joel Embiid (ankle) — Questionable
*Glenn Robinson III (hip) — Questionable
*Ben Simmons (knee) — Out (edited)

 

Incentives/Back-to-Backs

None. No one has anything to play for. No one is on a back-to-back.

 

Point Guard 

Kendrick Nunn ($5,200 DK/$4,800 FD) – Secure minutes are difficult to come by on this slate as we expect most of the teams in play to have funky rotations that rest their priority players. The Heat have already ruled out Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, and Gabe Vincent. In addition, they have veterans Jae Crowder and Andre Iguodala on the injury report as questionable. Kendrick Nunn is returning from a few games off after leaving the bubble to attend to a personal matter. When the Heat had Goran Dragic off for a few games due to injury, they brought him back in order to get the conditioning back up to speed. We know this because Dragic was the only starter playing into the third quarter last game against the Thunder. We expect a similar approach with Nunn and given the lack of ball-handlers available, we feel there is a pretty good path to high usage mid-20s minutes.

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