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Top Plays Primer

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

 

Injuries

*Will Barton (knee) — Out
*Gary Harris (hip) — Out
*Vlatko Cancar (foot) — Out
*Mike Conley (personal) — Out
*Ed Davis (knee) — Out
*Justin Wright-Foreman (not with team)– Out
*Jamal Crawford (hamstring) – Out
*Patrick McCaw (knee) – Out
*Oshae Brissett (knee)- Out
*Patrick McCaw (knee) — Out
*Romeo Langford (wrist)– Questionable
*Vincent Poirier (groin)– Probable
*Courtney Lee (calf) — Out
*Kristaps Porzingis (heel)– Probable
*Dwight Powell (Achilles)– Out
*Patrick Beverley (calf) – Questionable
*Montrezl Harrell (personal) — Questionable
*Landry Shamet (foot) — Questionable

 

Point Guard 

Kyle Lowry ($7,900 DK/$7,300 FD) – The defending champs start their defense with one of the most fantasy-friendly matchups on the board. Brooklyn plays at the eighth-fastest pace in the league and we project this game for the most possessions on this four-game slate. Lowry’s averaged over 37.5 minutes per game in three of the last four playoff runs for the Raptors and foul trouble/blowouts are really the only thing that kept him out of the 40s last season. In games he didn’t foul out and were decided by less than 10 points, he played 42, 42, 43, 36, 41, 39, 40, 39, 39, 41, 42, and 40 minutes in last year’s playoffs. The price tag on FanDuel is particularly compelling where Lowry projects as the clear top value at the position. On DraftKings, the price tag is more appropriate and he represents more of a secondary target.

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